Hobart Hurricanes vs Melbourne Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
114:81
21/01/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Big Bash League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports Cricket

Chances of winning


Hobart Hurricanes
46.6%
Melbourne Stars
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.2% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57% 43%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hobart Hurricanes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Hobart Hurricanes's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Stars's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hobart Hurricanes than the current prediction. (+10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Hobart Hurricanes, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (-10.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (1.71)

    1.77
    (2.1)
    4.3%
    (6.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 3.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Hurricanes may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hurricanes won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 3144:3132. (average 157.2:156.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Hurricanes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1198:1055. (average 149.8:131.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars were as follows:
    18.12.2025 Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes 159:158
    19.01.2025 Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes 219:179
    15.01.2024 Melbourne Stars - Hobart Hurricanes 180:187
    28.12.2023 Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars 155:67
    09.01.2023 Hobart Hurricanes - Melbourne Stars 133:131
    Latest results of Hobart Hurricanes
    Latest results of Melbourne Stars
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)147 : 99
    4Hobart Hurricanes (3)Melbourne Stars (4)114 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Bye
    2Sydney Sixers (2)Hobart Hurricanes (3)198 : 141

    Final
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)133 : 132