Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
166:170
10/01/2026 at 03:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Big Bash League
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSuperSport Cricket
australiaAustraliaFox Sports Cricket, Kayo Sports
indiaIndiaDisney+ Hotstar
nigeriaNigeriaSuperSport Cricket
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSportsMax App Caribbean, SportsMax Caribbean
south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Cricket
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Go, Sky Sports Cricket

Chances of winning


Melbourne Renegades
40.3%
Melbourne Stars
59.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.3% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6% 51.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Renegades has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Renegades's form might have worsened.
  • Melbourne Stars has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Melbourne Stars's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Renegades than the current prediction. (+8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Renegades, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Stars than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne Stars, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.31
    (1.96)

    1.59
    (1.83)
    6.2%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 325.50
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Renegades won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Renegades won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 2899:2960. (average 145:148).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Renegades won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1611:1719. (average 146.5:156.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars were as follows:
    04.01.2026 Melbourne Stars - Melbourne Renegades 173:177
    12.01.2025 Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars 123:165
    04.01.2025 Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars 168:171
    09.08.2024 Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars 150:149
    13.01.2024 Melbourne Renegades - Melbourne Stars 139:137
    Latest results of Melbourne Renegades
    Latest results of Melbourne Stars
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)147 : 99
    4Hobart Hurricanes (3)Melbourne Stars (4)114 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Bye
    2Sydney Sixers (2)Hobart Hurricanes (3)198 : 141

    Final
    1Perth Scorchers (1)Sydney Sixers (2)133 : 132