Melbourne Tigers vs Casey Cavaliers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball Australian NBL1 South Women Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers
Result
79:86
18/07/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBL1 South Women

Chances of winning


Melbourne Tigers
45%
Casey Cavaliers
55%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.6% 47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Tigers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Melbourne Tigers's form might have worsened.
  • Casey Cavaliers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Casey Cavaliers's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Tigers than the current prediction. (+7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne Tigers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casey Cavaliers than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Casey Cavaliers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.05
    (1.7)

    1.68
    (1.89)
    8.5%
    (11.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 145.00
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)
  • Preview Facts
    • Melbourne Tigers has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Casey is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Melbourne Tigers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Tigers won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 374:432. (average 74.8:86.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Tigers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 161:152. (average 80.5:76).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers 77:85
    13.07.2024 Casey Cavaliers - Melbourne Tigers 109:84
    06.06.2024 Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers 90:88
    08.07.2023 Melbourne Tigers - Casey Cavaliers 71:64
    Latest results of Melbourne Tigers
    Latest results of Casey Cavaliers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Keilor Thunder W (4)84 : 69
    4Frankston W (6)Diamond Valley W (7)81 : 87
    5Knox W (2)Dandenong Rangers W (3)65 : 62
    8Waverley W (5)Ringwood W (8)90 : 82

    Quarter-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Bye
    2Dandenong Rangers W (3)Diamond Valley W (7)73 : 82
    3Knox W (2)Bye
    4Keilor Thunder W (4)Waverley W (5)86 : 81

    Semi-finals
    1Geelong W (1)Diamond Valley W (7)80 : 72
    2Knox W (2)Keilor Thunder W (4)80 : 73

    Final
    1Geelong W (1)Knox W (2)