New Zealand Breakers vs Melbourne United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
97:95
30/01/2026 at 01:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 19
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
6074
Field goals made
3637
Field goals %
60%50%
2-point field goals attempts
3543
2-point field goals made
3027
2-point field goals %
85.71%62.79%
3-point field goals attempts
2531
3-point field goals made
610
3-point field goals %
24%32.26%
Free throws attempts
2516
Free throws made
1911
Free throws %
76%68.8%
Offensive rebounds
614
Defensive rebounds
2622
Total rebounds
3236
Assists
1723
Blocks
31
Turnovers
1213
Steals
99
Personal fouls
1620

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


New Zealand Breakers
34.7%
Melbourne United
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.3% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4% 57.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • New Zealand Breakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for New Zealand Breakers than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New Zealand Breakers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Melbourne United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.72
    (2.5)

    1.45
    (1.55)
    5.9%
    (4.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)
    What is the prediction for New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NZ Breakers (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 182.5, OT - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • O/U 184.5, OT - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • AH +6.5, OT - Melbourne (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. NZ Breakers (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Melbourne (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 89:94.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 1.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Melbourne might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NZ Breakers won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 1653:1804. (average 82.7:90.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, NZ Breakers won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 817:850. (average 81.7:85).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers 104:88
    21.09.2025 Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers 114:82
    13.01.2025 New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United 89:91
    05.12.2024 New Zealand Breakers - Melbourne United 70:96
    04.11.2024 Melbourne United - New Zealand Breakers 79:113
    Latest results of New Zealand Breakers
    Latest results of Melbourne United
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111