Melbourne United vs South East Melbourne Phoenix – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
95:91
19/02/2026 at 03:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7665
Field goals made
3429
Field goals %
44.74%44.62%
2-point field goals attempts
3936
2-point field goals made
2018
2-point field goals %
51.28%50%
3-point field goals attempts
3729
3-point field goals made
1411
3-point field goals %
37.84%37.93%
Free throws attempts
1626
Free throws made
1322
Free throws %
81.3%84.6%
Offensive rebounds
209
Defensive rebounds
3024
Total rebounds
5033
Assists
1511
Blocks
35
Turnovers
136
Steals
18
Personal fouls
2019

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne United
34.4%
South East Melbourne Phoenix
65.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.7% 65.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45% 55%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • South East Melbourne Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for South East Melbourne Phoenix than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for South East Melbourne Phoenix, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.75
    (2.63)

    1.44
    (1.4)
    6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 194.00
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 94:100.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • South East Melbourne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • South East Melbourne could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1840:1733. (average 92:86.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 942:847. (average 94.2:84.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix were as follows:
    06.12.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United 111:86
    08.11.2025 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United 81:92
    25.09.2025 Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix 103:83
    08.02.2025 Melbourne United - South East Melbourne Phoenix 103:93
    14.12.2024 South East Melbourne Phoenix - Melbourne United 109:97
    Latest results of Melbourne United
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111