Melbourne United vs Tasmania JackJumpers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
79:77
17/01/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NBL - Round 17
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
sloveniaSloveniaSportKlub 1

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
7465
Field goals made
3030
Field goals %
40.54%46.15%
2-point field goals attempts
4540
2-point field goals made
2025
2-point field goals %
44.44%62.5%
3-point field goals attempts
2925
3-point field goals made
105
3-point field goals %
34.48%20%
Free throws attempts
1520
Free throws made
914
Free throws %
60%70%
Offensive rebounds
1813
Defensive rebounds
2529
Total rebounds
4342
Assists
1412
Blocks
42
Turnovers
910
Steals
78
Personal fouls
1513

Official Live

Chances of winning


Melbourne United
46.5%
Tasmania JackJumpers
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 55%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.6% 47.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Tasmania JackJumpers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne United than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Melbourne United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tasmania JackJumpers than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tasmania JackJumpers, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.03)

    1.76
    (1.66)
    6.5%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 173.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +2.5, OT - Melbourne (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 181, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 180.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Melbourne United will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne United will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne (votes: 8 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 86:88.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ NBL (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 2.
    • Melbourne is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Tasmania has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Melbourne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1658:1724. (average 82.9:86.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 849:865. (average 84.9:86.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers were as follows:
    03.01.2026 Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United 84:75
    23.12.2025 Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers 73:92
    18.09.2025 Tasmania JackJumpers - Melbourne United 84:88
    01.02.2025 Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers 94:92
    23.12.2024 Melbourne United - Tasmania JackJumpers 91:97
    Latest results of Melbourne United
    Draw
    Ignite Cup

    Final
    1AdelaideNew Zealand Breakers107 : 111