Western Sydney Wanderers vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

10/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

CommBank Stadium (Sydney).

A-League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Hong-kong	M Plus Live
India	FanCode, FanCode, Vision+
Indonesia	Vidio
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Go
New-zealand	Sky Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV, SPOTV Now
Switzerland	Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4
Usa	ESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.85
Ball Possession
56%	44%
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	8
Passes
83% (359/435)	74% (249/338)
Yellow Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
0.93	0.86
Total shots
16	11
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
7	2
Blocked Shots
5	4
Shots inside the Box
11	10
Shots outside the Box
5	1
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
1	2
Corner Kicks
4	8
Touches in opposition box
21	28
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
13	5
Passes
83% (359/435)	74% (249/338)
Long passes
49% (26/53)	39% (22/57)
Passes in final third
73% (83/113)	66% (89/135)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.62	1.27
Throw-ins
22	16
Fouls
5	13
Tackles
58% (11/19)	59% (13/22)
Duels won
51	48
Clearances
26	34
Interceptions
11	9
Errors leading to shot
0	2
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	3
xGOT faced
0.86	0.93
Goals prevented
-1.24	-0.36

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 2)
4', Inserra J. 🟨,
7', 0 - 1, Bos K. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
23', 1 - 1, Sapsford Z. ⚽, Borrello B. (A),
42', 1 - 2, Machach Z. ⚽, Teague R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
73', Brillante J. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
73', Cleur G. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
73', Sapsford Z. ↓, Antonsson M. ↑,
78', Inserra J. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
84', Arzani D. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
87', Machach Z. ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
87', Velupillay N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
87', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
89', Milanovic N. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Western Sydney Wanderers
42.6%

Draw
24.8%

Melbourne Victory
32.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

27%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

27.3%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.4)	3.84 ↑ (3.5)	2.89 ↑ (2.82)	5.5% (5.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory?

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 50.6% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 3.
Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
Western Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
There will not play in Western Sydney: Jeong Tae-Wook (Ankle Injury) Scicluna D. (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Badolato A. (Loan agreement) Langerak M. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Melbourne Victory?

Western Sydney Wanderers has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Western Sydney Wanderers?

Melbourne Victory has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory were as follows:

15.03.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 4:2

04.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2

27.04.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:4

10.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 3:4

15.04.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 2:1

Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers

03.05.2025 Macarthur FC - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:3 ✺

26.04.2025 Newcastle Jets - Western Sydney Wanderers 0:1 ✺

19.04.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne City 2:2 ✺

13.04.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Western United 2:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Auckland FC - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Melbourne Victory

04.05.2025 Melbourne Victory - Newcastle Jets 1:1 ✺

25.04.2025 Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory 1:2 ✺

19.04.2025 Melbourne Victory - Auckland FC 0:2 ✺

12.04.2025 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 2:3 ✺

29.03.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 5:3 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

Quarter-finals

1	Melbourne City (2)	Bye
2	Western United (3)	Adelaide United (6)	3 : 2
3	Auckland FC (1)	Bye
4	WS Wanderers (4)	Melbourne Victory (5)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Melbourne City (2)	Western United (3)	1 : 1, 3 : 0
2	Auckland FC (1)	Melbourne Victory (5)	0 : 2, 1 : 0

Final

1

Melbourne City (2)

Melbourne Victory (5)

1 : 0