Result
1:2
10/05/2025 at 05:35 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
- Referee: Kersey A. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | 10 Bold, 10 Play, Paramount+ |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | Vidio |
 Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
 Malaysia | Astro Go |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
 South-korea | SPOTV, SPOTV Now |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 4 |
 Usa | ESPN 3, ESPN App |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.85 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (359/435) | 74% (249/338) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.85 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 10 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (359/435) | 74% (249/338) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (26/53) | 39% (22/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 73% (83/113) | 66% (89/135) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 25% (4/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 1.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 16 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 59% (13/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.93 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.24 | -0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 4', Inserra J. 🟨,
- 7', 0 - 1, Bos K. ⚽, Arzani D. (A),
- 23', 1 - 1, Sapsford Z. ⚽, Borrello B. (A),
- 42', 1 - 2, Machach Z. ⚽, Teague R. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 73', Brillante J. ↓, Mata J. ↑,
- 73', Cleur G. ↓, Carluccio J. ↑,
- 73', Sapsford Z. ↓, Antonsson M. ↑,
- 78', Inserra J. ↓, Rawlins J. ↑,
- 84', Arzani D. ↓, Clarismario ↑,
- 87', Machach Z. ↓, Hamill B. ↑,
- 87', Velupillay N. ↓, Reec J. ↑,
- 87', Vergos N. ↓, Fornaroli B. ↑,
- 89', Milanovic N. ↓, Hammond A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Western Sydney Wanderers
42.6% | Draw
24.8% | Melbourne Victory
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.4) |
3.84 ↑
(3.5) |
2.89 ↑
(2.82) |
5.5%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Western Sydney will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Melbourne Victory will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Western Sydney: 50.6% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 4 - 100%).
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Western Sydney Wanderers will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 3.
- Right now, both teams are showing solid form.
- Western Sydney may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Western Sydney: Jeong Tae-Wook
(Ankle Injury)
Scicluna D.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Badolato A.
(Loan agreement)
Langerak M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Western Sydney won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 32:37. (average 1.6:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Western Sydney won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:17. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Melbourne Victory?
Western Sydney Wanderers has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Western Sydney Wanderers?
Melbourne Victory has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
15.03.2025
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Melbourne Victory
4:2
04.01.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
2:2
27.04.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
3:4
10.12.2023
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Melbourne Victory
3:4
15.04.2023
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Melbourne Victory
2:1
Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 2 | Wellington Phoenix | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:3 | 1 | 4 |
| 3 | Auckland FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Newcastle Jets | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Sydney FC | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Adelaide United | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Brisbane Roar | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Central Coast Mariners | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 9 | WS Wanderers | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
| 10 | Melbourne Victory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
| 11 | Perth Glory | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
| 12 | Macarthur FC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
