Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League
Result
0:1
10/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 12
  • Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
thailandThailandSPOTV 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.771.38
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
34
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
72
Passes
84% (511/609)70% (227/324)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.771.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.131.05
Total shots
149
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
103
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
147
Passes
84% (511/609)70% (227/324)
Long passes
35% (18/51)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
78% (174/224)52% (41/79)
Crosses
13% (4/31)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.19
Throw ins
2818
Fouls
714
Tackles
59% (10/17)52% (13/25)
Duels won
5361
Clearances
2335
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.050.13
Goals prevented
0.050.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Davidson J. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Barbarouses K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 31', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Kraev B. 🟨,
  • 67', Barbarouses K. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
  • 73', Mata J. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
  • 73', Clarismario ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
  • 75', Kuol A. ↓, Scicluna D. ↑,
  • 76', Thurgate A. 🟨,
  • 81', Velupillay N. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
  • 88', Genreau D. ↓, Machar Reec J. ↑,
  • 88', Inserra J. ↓, Razmovski K. ↑,
  • 90+1', Borrello B. ↓, Abdul-Rahman A. ↑,
  • 90+1', Brillante J. ↓, Cancar P. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
45.4%		Draw
24.7%		Western Sydney Wanderers
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 26.8% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26.7% 28.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Western Sydney Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Western Sydney Wanderers than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
    •

    Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.08 ↑
    (2.08)    		 3.81 ↑
    (3.45)    		 3.14 ↓
    (3.22)    		 6.3%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Melbourne Victory (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Melbourne Victory (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Melbourne Victory will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne Victory will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
    • Melbourne Victory is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Western Sydney is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Melbourne Victory is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury) Piscopo R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Western Sydney: Cleur G. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 1:2
    15.03.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 4:2
    04.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2
    27.04.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:4
    10.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 3:4
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    02.01.2026 Melbourne Victory - Perth Glory 3:2 ✺
    29.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 5:1 ✺
    20.12.2025 Melbourne City - Melbourne Victory 0:1 ✺
    13.12.2025 Melbourne Victory - Adelaide United 2:1 ✺
    05.12.2025 Macarthur FC - Melbourne Victory 0:0 ✺
    Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
    01.01.2026 Western Sydney Wanderers - Macarthur FC 0:1 ✺
    27.12.2025 Adelaide United - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:2 ✺
    19.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Auckland FC 0:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Brisbane Roar 0:0 ✺
    05.12.2025 Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers 1:0 ✺
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Newcastle Jets19121641:291237
    2Auckland FC19105432:181435
    3Sydney FC19102726:18832
    4Adelaide United1993733:28530
    5Melbourne Victory1984728:24428
    6Macarthur FC1967624:28-425
    7Central Coast Mariners1865724:26-223
    8Brisbane Roar2065919:25-623
    9Melbourne City1957720:27-722
    10Perth Glory19631022:30-821
    11WS Wanderers1955921:26-520
    12Wellington Phoenix1955928:39-1120

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)

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