Melbourne Victory vs Western Sydney Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
10/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • A-League - Round 12
  • Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaSPOTV 2 Asia
australiaAustraliaParamount+
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
hong-kongHong-kongM Plus Live, myTV SUPER
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaSPOTV 2, Vidio
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Go
mongoliaMongoliaSPOTV 2
new-zealandNew-zealandSky Sport 4
philippinesPhilippinesSPOTV 2
singaporeSingaporeSPOTV 2
thailandThailandSPOTV 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
vietnamVietnamSPOTV 2

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.771.38
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
149
Shots on target
34
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
72
Passes
84% (511/609)70% (227/324)
Yellow cards
22
Expected goals (xG)
0.771.38
xG on target (xGOT)
0.131.05
Total shots
149
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
31
Shots inside the box
103
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
02
Corner kicks
72
Touches in opposition box
2213
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free kicks
147
Passes
84% (511/609)70% (227/324)
Long passes
35% (18/51)30% (17/57)
Passes in final third
78% (174/224)52% (41/79)
Crosses
13% (4/31)0% (0/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.19
Throw ins
2818
Fouls
714
Tackles
59% (10/17)52% (13/25)
Duels won
5361
Clearances
2335
Interceptions
914
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
32
xGOT faced
1.050.13
Goals prevented
0.050.13

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 12', Davidson J. 🟨,
  • 29', 0 - 1, Barbarouses K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 31', Traore A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 47', Kraev B. 🟨,
  • 67', Barbarouses K. , Ugarkovic S. ,
  • 73', Mata J. , Piscopo R. ,
  • 73', Clarismario , Jelacic K. ,
  • 75', Kuol A. , Scicluna D. ,
  • 76', Thurgate A. 🟨,
  • 81', Velupillay N. , Grimaldi M. ,
  • 88', Genreau D. , Machar Reec J. ,
  • 88', Inserra J. , Razmovski K. ,
  • 90+1', Borrello B. , Abdul-Rahman A. ,
  • 90+1', Brillante J. , Cancar P. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Melbourne Victory
45.4%
Draw
24.7%
Western Sydney Wanderers
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.5% 26.8% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.6% 26.7% 28.6%

Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.08
(2.08)
3.81
(3.45)
3.14
(3.22)
6.3%
(8.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Melbourne Victory (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DNB - Melbourne Victory (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Melbourne Victory will win (23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.95%96.33%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne Victory will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
    • Melbourne Victory is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Western Sydney is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Melbourne Victory is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B. (Knee Injury) Piscopo R. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Western Sydney: Cleur G. (Inactive)
    • We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
    10.05.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 1:2
    15.03.2025 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 4:2
    04.01.2025 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 2:2
    27.04.2024 Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers 3:4
    10.12.2023 Western Sydney Wanderers - Melbourne Victory 3:4
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Australian A-League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auckland FC1373319:13624
    2Sydney FC1271418:9922
    3Newcastle Jets1370626:24221
    4Brisbane Roar1463513:13021
    5Melbourne City1455414:12220
    6Macarthur FC1455415:18-320
    7Adelaide United1361620:20019
    8Wellington Phoenix1353521:22-118
    9Melbourne Victory1352616:18-217
    10Perth Glory1351716:18-216
    11Central Coast Mariners1333716:21-512
    12WS Wanderers1333710:16-612

          Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
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