Result
0:1
10/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 12
- Referee: Elder D. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
Australia | Paramount+ |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
India | Vision+ |
Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
Malaysia | Astro Go |
Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
New-zealand | Sky Sport 4 |
Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
Thailand | SPOTV 2 |
United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.38 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (511/609) | 70% (227/324) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.77 | 1.38 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.13 | 1.05 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 3 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (511/609) | 70% (227/324) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (18/51) | 30% (17/57) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (174/224) | 52% (41/79) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (4/31) | 0% (0/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.19 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 52% (13/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 61 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 14 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.05 | 0.13 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.05 | 0.13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 12', Davidson J. 🟨,
- 29', 0 - 1, Barbarouses K. (Penalty Awarded),
- 31', Traore A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 47', Kraev B. 🟨,
- 67', Barbarouses K. ↓, Ugarkovic S. ↑,
- 73', Mata J. ↓, Piscopo R. ↑,
- 73', Clarismario ↓, Jelacic K. ↑,
- 75', Kuol A. ↓, Scicluna D. ↑,
- 76', Thurgate A. 🟨,
- 81', Velupillay N. ↓, Grimaldi M. ↑,
- 88', Genreau D. ↓, Machar Reec J. ↑,
- 88', Inserra J. ↓, Razmovski K. ↑,
- 90+1', Borrello B. ↓, Abdul-Rahman A. ↑,
- 90+1', Brillante J. ↓, Cancar P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory 45.4% | Draw 24.7% | Western Sydney Wanderers 30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.08 ↑ (2.08) |
3.81 ↑ (3.45) |
3.14 ↓ (3.22) |
6.3% (8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Melbourne Victory (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Melbourne Victory (1.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Melbourne Victory will win
(23 of 28 users predict this - 82.14%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.95% – 96.33%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Melbourne Victory will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 6 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 2.
- Melbourne Victory is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Western Sydney is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Melbourne Victory is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Melbourne Victory: Hamill B.
(Knee Injury)
Piscopo R.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Western Sydney: Cleur G.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Melbourne Victory will win today's game, with odds of 1.94.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 36:33. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2.2:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Western Sydney Wanderers?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Western Sydney Wanderers won against Melbourne Victory?
Western Sydney Wanderers has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Western Sydney Wanderers were as follows:
10.05.2025
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Melbourne Victory
1:2
15.03.2025
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Melbourne Victory
4:2
04.01.2025
Melbourne Victory
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
2:2
27.04.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Western Sydney Wanderers
3:4
10.12.2023
Western Sydney Wanderers
-
Melbourne Victory
3:4
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Western Sydney Wanderers
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Auckland FC | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 19:13 | 6 | 24 |
| 2 | Sydney FC | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 18:9 | 9 | 22 |
| 3 | Newcastle Jets | 13 | 7 | 0 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 21 |
| 4 | Brisbane Roar | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 21 |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 20 |
| 6 | Macarthur FC | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:18 | -3 | 20 |
| 7 | Adelaide United | 13 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 20:20 | 0 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 21:22 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Melbourne Victory | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 16:18 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 13 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 16:18 | -2 | 16 |
| 11 | Central Coast Mariners | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 12 |
| 12 | WS Wanderers | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 10:16 | -6 | 12 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)