Green Gully vs Melbourne Victory Youth – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
04/07/2025 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPL Victoria - Round 21

Match Stats

Ball Possession
55%45%
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
129
Corner Kicks
87
Total shots
1812
Shots on target
129
Shots off target
63
Corner Kicks
87
Goalkeeper Saves
88

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Abdallah A. ,
  • 24', 1 - 1, Wall P. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Lochhead S. ,
  • 63', 3 - 1, Jok D. ,
  • 87', 4 - 1, Hope J. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Green Gully
60.6%
Draw
20.3%
Melbourne Victory Youth
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.3% 20.2% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6% 15.9% 24.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Green Gully has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Melbourne Victory Youth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Green Gully than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Green Gully that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory Youth than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory Youth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.51)
    4.5
    (4.5)
    4.75
    (4.68)
    9.7%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Green Gully (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 12 in the zone Relegation ~ Victoria Premier League).
    • Green Gully has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Victory Youth's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Green Gully is the team to beat.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Green Gully won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 3:1.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Green Gully won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Green Gully - Melbourne Victory Youth were as follows:
    29.03.2025 Melbourne Victory Youth - Green Gully 1:2
    Latest results of Green Gully
    Australian NPL Victoria Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1South Melbourne860214:8618
    2Oakleigh Cannons842216:13314
    3Hume City842214:12214
    4Heidelberg Utd842212:10214
    5Avondale FC841315:10513
    6Bentleigh Greens841310:6413
    7George Cross83419:6313
    8Melbourne City U21825114:10411
    9Preston Lions841314:1047
    10St Albans82157:17-107
    11Altona Magic81349:13-46
    12Dandenong City823311:14-35
    13Dandenong Thunder81258:11-35
    14Green Gully80354:17-133

          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPL Victoria (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation