Melilla vs Atlético Malagueño – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
19/10/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 7

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Chavarria M. ,
  • 45', 1 - 1, Hernandez Molina J. M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 67', 2 - 1, Iglesias J. ,

Chances of winning


Melilla
42.9%
Draw
29.6%
Atlético Malagueño
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.9% 30.4% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 26.2% 32.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Melilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • Atlético Malagueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melilla than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Melilla that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Malagueño than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • Melilla - Atlético Malagueño Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.18)
    3.11
    (3.01)
    3.34
    (3.3)
    8.9%
    (9.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 in the zone Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: ) and 18 in the zone Relegation).
    • The current form of both teams is below expectations.
    • Melilla will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Melilla
    12.10.2025 Real Jaén - Melilla 1:1
    05.10.2025 Melilla - Xerez CD 1:1
    28.09.2025 La Unión - Melilla 1:0
    21.09.2025 Melilla - Minera 2:2
    Latest results of Atlético Malagueño
    Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aguilas FC24137431:151646
    2Recreativo Huelva24118533:161741
    3Deportiva Minera24125734:231141
    4UCAM Murcia24125734:27741
    5Lorca Deportiva24116726:21539
    6Xerez CD24116724:19539
    7Jaen24108629:25438
    8CD Extremadura2399534:29536
    9Yeclano241031121:22-133
    10Antoniano24941128:31-331
    11Linares23710627:32-531
    12La Union2386927:28-130
    13Puente Genil2478921:27-629
    14Xerez D.F.C2469928:31-327
    15Melilla23510821:22-125
    16CD Estepona24651323:34-1123
    17Almeria B24461418:34-1618
    18Malaga B24351618:41-2314

          Promotion
          Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs
          Segunda RFEF ~ Play Out (Play Out: )
          Relegation