Mensajero vs Lanzarote – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12 Mensajero - Lanzarote
Result
2:1
04/05/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 33
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFootballclub

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Celihueta I. ,
  • 35', 2 - 0, Coulibaly A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 68', 2 - 1, Hujo I. ,

Chances of winning


Mensajero
39.8%
Draw
27.9%
Lanzarote
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 28.5% 26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.5% 26.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mensajero has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Lanzarote has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lanzarote's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mensajero than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzarote than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lanzarote, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mensajero - Lanzarote Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.04)
    3.26
    (3.2)
    2.82
    (3.4)
    9.8%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 6).
    • At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
    • Mensajero may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Mensajero will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Mensajero won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mensajero won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mensajero - Lanzarote were as follows:
    22.12.2024 Lanzarote - Mensajero 2:0
    12.02.2023 Lanzarote - Mensajero 1:1
    06.12.2022 Mensajero - Lanzarote 2:1
    Latest results of Mensajero
    26.04.2025 Arucas - Mensajero 0:0
    12.04.2025 Unión Viera - Mensajero 1:3
    06.04.2025 Mensajero - Estrella 3:2
    Latest results of Lanzarote
    17.04.2025 Lanzarote - Arucas 1:0
    06.04.2025 Lanzarote - Unión Viera 4:0
    29.03.2025 Estrella - Lanzarote 1:1
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Final
    1SocuellamosCayon2 : 0, 1 : 1
    2CastellonenseBurgos CF B0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3CortesBeasain0 : 2, 1 : 2
    4Girona BSan Fernando2 : 0, 1 : 0
    5PulpilenoSarriana2 : 3, 0 : 0
    6LlerenenseLealtad1 : 3, 1 : 0
    7Atletico CentralJaen1 : 2, 0 : 1
    8PorreresAtletico Monzon2 : 0, 0 : 1
    9VareaRayo Vallecano B0 : 3, 1 : 2