Platges de Calvià vs Mercadal – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
20/12/2025 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 15

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 26', 0 - 1, ,
  • 40', 1 - 1, ,
  • 42', 2 - 1, ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 57', 3 - 1, ,
  • 90+3', 4 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Platges de Calvià
46.6%
Draw
29.5%
Mercadal
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.4% 27.6% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.8% 26.8% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Platges de Calvià has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Mercadal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Platges de Calvià than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Platges de Calvià - Mercadal Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.84)
    3.08
    (3.3)
    3.81
    (3.95)
    10.1%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: ))
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 3.
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Mercadal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Platges de Calvià is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Platges de Calvià won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 0.9:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Platges de Calvià won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Platges de Calvià - Mercadal were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Platges de Calvià - Mercadal 1:0
    10.11.2024 Mercadal - Platges de Calvià 1:1
    07.01.2024 Mercadal - Platges de Calvià 0:1
    19.03.2023 Platges de Calvià - Mercadal 1:0
    19.11.2022 Mercadal - Platges de Calvià 1:1
    Latest results of Platges de Calvià
    Latest results of Mercadal
    14.12.2025 Mercadal - Formentera 0:1
    07.12.2025 Inter Ibiza - Mercadal 0:2
    23.11.2025 Mercadal - Llosetense 0:0
    16.11.2025 Cardassar - Mercadal 2:1
    09.11.2025 Mercadal - Manacor 0:1
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mallorca B32255297:217680
    2Manacor32244468:343476
    3Pena Deportiva32198566:283865
    4Constancia321751056:282856
    5Llosetense32159856:381854
    6Inter Ibiza321551242:39350
    7Formentera321212835:26948
    8Mercadal321441428:36-846
    9Cardassar321181334:51-1741
    10Platges de Calvia321161536:38-239
    11Santanyi321081440:55-1538
    12Binissalem329101323:33-1037
    13Alcudia321141734:58-2437
    14Son Cladera321051737:58-2135
    15Portmany32861824:47-2330
    16Collerense325101739:61-2225
    17Felanitx324111727:57-3023
    18Rotlet Molinar32482032:66-3420

          Promotion
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          Relegation