Mercedes vs El Porvenir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C Mercedes - El Porvenir
27/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
43
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Mercedes
34.7%
Draw
29.8%
El Porvenir
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.8% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Mercedes - El Porvenir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.4)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    2.58
    (2.6)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2.
    • In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • El Porvenir is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - El Porvenir were as follows:
    18.03.2025 El Porvenir - Mercedes 2:1
    11.09.2024 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    10.04.2024 El Porvenir - Mercedes 4:0
    06.11.2023 El Porvenir - Mercedes 0:0
    23.07.2023 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituzaingo18114322:101237
    2Central Cordoba18103529:151433
    3Justo Jose de Urquiza18103520:15533
    4Berazategui1793523:131030
    5Deportivo Espanol1976617:16127
    6Leandro N. Alem1882819:14526
    7Claypole1867519:17225
    8Mercedes1973917:21-424
    9Lugano1864815:22-722
    10Deportivo Muniz185679:11-221
    11Def. de Cambaceres17611014:21-719
    12El Porvenir1753916:23-718
    13Puerto Nuevo19411413:35-2213


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros20127127:62143
    2Club Lujan20117227:111640
    3Estrella Del Sur2089319:14533
    4Juventud Unida S. M2086623:18530
    5Argentino de Rosario2078518:19-129
    6Sportivo Barracas2077621:17428
    7Atlas2065926:36-1023
    8General Lamadrid2057822:25-322
    9Canuelas20410614:17-322
    10Deportivo Paraguayo2057815:24-922
    11Victoriano A2056918:25-721
    12Yupanqui2047921:27-619
    13Central Ballester20310715:23-819
    14CSR Espanol20461020:24-418

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