Mercedes vs El Porvenir – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Primera C Mercedes - El Porvenir
27/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera C - Round 15

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
43
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Mercedes
34.7%
Draw
29.8%
El Porvenir
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.8% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Mercedes - El Porvenir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.4)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    2.58
    (2.6)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2.
    • In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • El Porvenir is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - El Porvenir were as follows:
    18.03.2025 El Porvenir - Mercedes 2:1
    11.09.2024 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    10.04.2024 El Porvenir - Mercedes 4:0
    06.11.2023 El Porvenir - Mercedes 0:0
    23.07.2023 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituzaingo21126325:121342
    2Berazategui21124533:161740
    3Central Cordoba21115533:181538
    4Justo Jose de Urquiza21115522:15738
    5Claypole21610520:18228
    6Leandro N. Alem2184921:20128
    7Deportivo Espanol2277818:21-328
    8Mercedes22841020:25-528
    9El Porvenir2166921:26-524
    10Lugano2166916:24-824
    11Deportivo Muniz2058711:13-223
    12Def. de Cambaceres21631216:25-921
    13Puerto Nuevo21421515:38-2314


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros23147229:82149
    2Club Lujan23128328:121644
    3Estrella Del Sur23109424:18639
    4Argentino de Rosario23108527:19838
    5Sportivo Barracas23107629:20937
    6General Lamadrid2387831:26531
    7Juventud Unida S. M2387823:20331
    8Atlas23851029:42-1329
    9CSR Espanol23761030:26427
    10Canuelas23510816:20-425
    11Deportivo Paraguayo23571115:29-1422
    12Victoriano A23561221:35-1421
    13Yupanqui23471222:34-1219
    14Central Ballester233101017:32-1519

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