Mercedes vs El Porvenir: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer Argentinian Primera C Mercedes - El Porvenir
27/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Primera C - Round 15
Mercedes - El Porvenir - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Corner Kicks
43
Total shots
34
Shots on target
01
Shots off target
33
Corner Kicks
43
Goalkeeper Saves
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Mercedes
34.7%
Draw
29.8%
El Porvenir
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.6% 27.7% 34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 26.8% 33.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mercedes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)
  • El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercedes than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • Mercedes - El Porvenir Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.64
    (2.4)
    3.08
    (3.25)
    2.58
    (2.6)
    9.1%
    (10.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 10 and 11).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2.
    • In recent matches, Mercedes has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • El Porvenir is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.7:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mercedes won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mercedes - El Porvenir were as follows:
    18.03.2025 El Porvenir - Mercedes 2:1
    11.09.2024 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    10.04.2024 El Porvenir - Mercedes 4:0
    06.11.2023 El Porvenir - Mercedes 0:0
    23.07.2023 Mercedes - El Porvenir 1:0
    Latest results of Mercedes
    Latest results of El Porvenir
    Argentinian Primera C Table
    2025

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba16102429:121732
    2Ituzaingo1593316:8830
    3Justo Jose de Urquiza1692518:14429
    4Berazategui1573516:13324
    5Deportivo Espanol1665514:12223
    6Leandro N. Alem1571718:13522
    7Mercedes1663712:16-421
    8Claypole1647516:17-119
    9Def. de Cambaceres1561813:17-419
    10Lugano1654714:19-519
    11Deportivo Muniz164667:10-318
    12El Porvenir1652916:23-717
    13Puerto Nuevo16411112:27-1513


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Deportivo Camioneros17106124:61836
    2Club Lujan1695223:91432
    3Estrella Del Sur1677215:11428
    4Argentino de Rosario1675415:13226
    5Sportivo Barracas1657417:14322
    6Juventud Unida S. M1664617:17022
    7Canuelas1749413:13021
    8Atlas1755723:30-720
    9Deportivo Paraguayo1754813:22-919
    10Yupanqui1746720:22-218
    11General Lamadrid1745816:21-517
    12Central Ballester1637612:17-516
    13Victoriano A1744915:23-816
    14CSR Espanol1736817:22-515

          Promotion ~ Primera C (Super final: )
          Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Primera C (Relegation ~ Play Offs: )

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