Air Force Falcons vs Mercyhurst Lakers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
14/02/2026 at 19:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 3rd Period (3 - 2)

Chances of winning


Air Force Falcons
56.9%
Draw
20.1%
Mercyhurst Lakers
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56% 19.7% 24.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55% 20.1% 24.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Air Force Falcons has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
  • Mercyhurst Lakers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Air Force Falcons than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercyhurst Lakers than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.62)
    4.5
    (4.6)
    3.92
    (3.75)
    10.6%
    (10.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 3.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, Air Force is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Air Force will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Air Force won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 19:20. (average 3.2:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Air Force won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:9. (average 3.7:3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers were as follows:
    13.02.2026 Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers 3:4
    19.11.2023 Mercyhurst Lakers - Air Force Falcons 5:1
    18.11.2023 Mercyhurst Lakers - Air Force Falcons 2:5
    04.02.2023 Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers 4:2
    03.02.2023 Air Force Falcons - Mercyhurst Lakers 4:3
    Latest results of Mercyhurst Lakers
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2