Result
3:1
26/04/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- National Division 1 - VV - Round 30
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 47', 2 - 0, ⚽,
- 49', 2 - 1, ⚽,
- 52', 3 - 1, ⚽,
Chances of winning
Ninove
33.8% | Draw
24.7% | Merelbeke
41.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ninove has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Merelbeke has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ninove than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merelbeke than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Ninove - Merelbeke Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.68 ↓
(2.72) |
3.68 ↑
(3.55) |
2.19 ↑
(2.18) |
10.2%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 11).
- Ninove is Relegated to
- Recent form of Ninove has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Merelbeke has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Ninove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Merelbeke will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ninove won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home match between the teams, Ninove won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Ninove won against Merelbeke?
Ninove has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Merelbeke won against Ninove?
Merelbeke has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ninove - Merelbeke were as follows:
14.09.2025
Merelbeke
-
Ninove
1:1
02.11.2024
Ninove
-
Merelbeke
2:0
30.08.2023
Merelbeke
-
Ninove
3:1
Latest results of Merelbeke
Belgian National Division 1 VV Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Hasselt | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 76:28 | 48 | 62 |
| 2 | Knokke | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 56:44 | 12 | 61 |
| 3 | SK Roeselare | 30 | 15 | 9 | 6 | 52:33 | 19 | 54 |
| 4 | Belisia Bilzen | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 62:43 | 19 | 52 |
| 5 | Hoogstraten | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 54:42 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Thes Sport | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 44:34 | 10 | 50 |
| 7 | Lyra-Lierse | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 45:44 | 1 | 43 |
| 8 | Dessel | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 61:65 | -4 | 39 |
| 9 | Tienen | 30 | 11 | 5 | 14 | 38:46 | -8 | 38 |
| 10 | Cercle Brugge KSV 2 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 41:53 | -12 | 38 |
| 11 | Merelbeke | 30 | 11 | 3 | 16 | 42:49 | -7 | 36 |
| 12 | Zelzate | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 52:61 | -9 | 36 |
| 13 | Leuven B | 30 | 10 | 3 | 17 | 56:64 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Houtvenne | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 40:53 | -13 | 31 |
| 15 | Diegem | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 52:69 | -17 | 28 |
| 16 | Ninove | 30 | 5 | 4 | 21 | 40:83 | -43 | 19 |
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Relegation
