Result
2:1
08/02/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 23
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Spain | FEF TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 13', del Cerro S. 🟨,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Beltran L. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 58', Navarro S. ↓, Llorente R. ↑,
- 58', Rodriguez R. ↓, Aparicio E. ↑,
- 64', Prevedini M. ↓, Alvaro J. ↑,
- 64', Jimenez N. ↓, Pareja Alvarez L. ↑,
- 64', Beneit R. ↓, Ganet P. ↑,
- 66', Navarro D. 🟨,
- 71', Santiago A. 🟥,
- 74', Navarro D. ↓, Ramos D. ↑,
- 74', Lachevre M. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Nunez J. ⚽,
- 78', Doncel C. ↓, Nabian H. ↑,
- 78', Busi ↓, Carvalho M. ↑,
- 85', 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Eslava J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Mérida AD
43.8% | Draw
30.8% | Alcorcón
25.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+0.8%)The ML Model estimate for Alcorcón aligns with the current prediction.
Mérida AD - Alcorcón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.09 ↑
(2.03) |
2.98 ↓
(3.01) |
3.58 ↑
(3.55) |
9.5%
(10.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 7 and 16 in the zone Relegation).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Mérida AD will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
How many head-to-head matches has Mérida AD won against Alcorcón?
Mérida AD has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alcorcón won against Mérida AD?
Alcorcón has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Alcorcón were as follows:
03.11.2024
Alcorcón
-
Mérida AD
2:2
14.05.2023
Alcorcón
-
Mérida AD
0:0
08.01.2023
Mérida AD
-
Alcorcón
0:2
Latest results of Mérida AD
Latest results of Alcorcón
Draw
Promotion - Play OffsSemi-finals| 1 | Antequera | Ponferradina | 1 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Andorra | UD Ibiza | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Gimnastic | Murcia | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 4 | Merida AD | Real Sociedad B | 1 : 0, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ponferradina | Andorra | 0 : 1, 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Gimnastic | Real Sociedad B | 2 : 1, 1 : 3 |
