Algeciras vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
01/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
415
Shots on Goal
38
Shots off Goal
17
Corner Kicks
16
Goalkeeper Saves
72
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Pipe 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Turrillo I. ,
  • 37', Merchan D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jimenez N. , Ganet P. ,
  • 46', Beneit R. , del Cerro S. ,
  • 57', Turrillo I. 🟨,
  • 57', Turrillo I. 🟨,
  • 60', Doncel C. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Carvalho M. ,
  • 73', Rodri , Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ,
  • 76', Gaixas A. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Algeciras
39.5%
Draw
31.7%
Mérida AD
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.9% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.6% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeciras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Algeciras - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.14)
    2.92
    (3.05)
    3.19
    (3.35)
    8.7%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 2.
    • Algeciras has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Mérida AD is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Algeciras will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Algeciras - Mérida AD were as follows:
    06.09.2024 Mérida AD - Algeciras 1:0
    13.04.2024 Mérida AD - Algeciras 3:1
    17.09.2023 Algeciras - Mérida AD 2:0
    30.10.2022 Mérida AD - Algeciras 3:3
    Latest results of Algeciras
    23.02.2025 Marbella - Algeciras 3:1
    09.02.2025 Ceuta - Algeciras 2:0
    26.01.2025 Sevilla B - Algeciras 1:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    23.02.2025 Mérida AD - Real Murcia 1:4
    15.02.2025 Intercity - Mérida AD 3:1
    08.02.2025 Mérida AD - Alcorcón 2:1
    01.02.2025 Betis B - Mérida AD 0:4
    26.01.2025 Ibiza - Mérida AD 3:0
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sabadell291412340:152554
    2Atl. Madrid B29149643:261751
    3Eldense291311541:281350
    4CE Europa291211643:34947
    5Villarreal B291111738:251344
    6Teruel29119922:23-142
    7Antequera291181033:32141
    8Algeciras291181030:30041
    9Alcorcon29913727:25240
    10Hercules291010933:32140
    11FC Cartagena SAD291010925:28-340
    12Torremolinos29912837:37039
    13UD Ibiza291081130:28238
    14Murcia29991126:29-336
    15Tarazona298101123:30-734
    16Gimnastic29971331:39-834
    17Marbella29771524:35-1128
    18Betis B29771532:48-1628
    19Sanluqueno29761625:42-1727
    20Sevilla FC B294101515:32-1722

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