Algeciras vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Algeciras - Mérida AD
Result
1:1
01/03/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 26
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
48%52%
Goal Attempts
415
Shots on Goal
38
Shots off Goal
17
Corner Kicks
16
Goalkeeper Saves
72
Yellow Cards
43
Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Pipe 🟨,
  • 34', 1 - 0, Turrillo I. ,
  • 37', Merchan D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Jimenez N. , Ganet P. ,
  • 46', Beneit R. , del Cerro S. ,
  • 57', Turrillo I. 🟨,
  • 57', Turrillo I. 🟨,
  • 60', Doncel C. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 1, Carvalho M. ,
  • 73', Rodri , Gonzaga Delage Cruzado L. ,
  • 76', Gaixas A. 🟨,
  • 88', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Algeciras
39.5%
Draw
31.7%
Mérida AD
28.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.8% 29.9% 27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.7% 28.6% 26.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Algeciras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Algeciras than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Algeciras, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
  • Algeciras - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (2.14)
    2.92
    (3.05)
    3.19
    (3.35)
    8.7%
    (9.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 2.
    • Algeciras has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Mérida AD is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Algeciras will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 8 head-to-head matches Algeciras won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.5:1.6).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Algeciras won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:2 (average 1.3:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Algeciras - Mérida AD were as follows:
    06.09.2024 Mérida AD - Algeciras 1:0
    13.04.2024 Mérida AD - Algeciras 3:1
    17.09.2023 Algeciras - Mérida AD 2:0
    30.10.2022 Mérida AD - Algeciras 3:3
    Latest results of Algeciras
    23.02.2025 Marbella - Algeciras 3:1
    09.02.2025 Ceuta - Algeciras 2:0
    26.01.2025 Sevilla B - Algeciras 1:0
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    23.02.2025 Mérida AD - Real Murcia 1:4
    15.02.2025 Intercity - Mérida AD 3:1
    08.02.2025 Mérida AD - Alcorcón 2:1
    01.02.2025 Betis B - Mérida AD 0:4
    26.01.2025 Ibiza - Mérida AD 3:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3