Badajoz vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Badajoz - Mérida AD
Result
1:1
04/03/2023 at 13:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 26

Chances of winning


Badajoz
39.4%
Draw
33.1%
Mérida AD
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.4% 34% 21.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.5% 33.2% 21.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Badajoz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mérida AD's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Badajoz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mérida AD, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Badajoz - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.33
    (2.07)
    2.78
    (2.7)
    3.33
    (4.26)
    8.9%
    (8.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 15 and 9).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 2.
    • Badajoz is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Mérida AD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Badajoz will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Badajoz won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Badajoz won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Badajoz - Mérida AD were as follows:
    11.12.2022 Mérida AD - Badajoz 1:0
    Latest results of Badajoz
    12.02.2023 San Fernando - Badajoz 2:1
    05.02.2023 Badajoz - Rayo Majadahonda 0:0
    29.01.2023 Algeciras - Badajoz 1:1
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3