Mérida AD vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Mérida AD - Barakaldo
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Herranz Corral V. 🟨,
  • 42', Galarza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 59', Munoz I. , Mandiang S. ,
  • 59', Albizua U. , Perez E. ,
  • 68', Naveira U. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Doncel C. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
46%
Draw
29.2%
Barakaldo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 28.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Mérida AD - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.12)
    3.15
    (3.16)
    3.68
    (3.24)
    8.3%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Mérida AD has had a series of away games.
    • Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife550013:11215
    2Celta Vigo B53118:4410
    3Guadalajara53116:3310
    4Racing Club Ferrol53116:4210
    5Zamora52305:149
    6CF Talavera52216:518
    7Ath Bilbao B52215:418
    8Osasuna B52213:308
    9Arenteiro52125:417
    10Real Aviles52127:8-17
    11Arenas Getxo52127:8-17
    12Pontevedra52124:5-17
    13Barakaldo51315:506
    14Cacereno51316:7-16
    15Ponferradina51135:6-14
    16Lugo51133:5-24
    17Unionistas51044:8-43
    18Real Madrid B51043:7-43
    19Merida AD51044:12-83
    20Ourense CF50233:8-52

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