Mérida AD vs Barakaldo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Mérida AD - Barakaldo
Result
1:0
30/08/2025 at 13:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Corner Kicks
41
Yellow Cards
12
Total shots
132
Shots on target
60
Shots off target
72
Corner Kicks
41
Goalkeeper Saves
05

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Herranz Corral V. 🟨,
  • 42', Galarza A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', San Bartolome V. , Molina E. ,
  • 59', Munoz I. , Mandiang S. ,
  • 59', Albizua U. , Perez E. ,
  • 68', Naveira U. 🟨,
  • 70', 1 - 0, Doncel C. ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
46%
Draw
29.2%
Barakaldo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 28.8% 28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4% 27.9% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Barakaldo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barakaldo than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • Mérida AD - Barakaldo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.02
    (2.12)
    3.15
    (3.16)
    3.68
    (3.24)
    8.3%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Recently, Mérida AD has had a series of away games.
    • Mérida AD will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    Latest results of Barakaldo
    Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tenerife861116:41219
    2Racing Club Ferrol852112:7517
    3Celta Vigo B842210:6414
    4Real Aviles842215:14114
    5Guadalajara833210:8212
    6Real Madrid B840410:10012
    7Barakaldo82519:8111
    8Lugo83236:5111
    9Pontevedra83238:9-111
    10Ponferradina831410:9110
    11Cacereno82429:9010
    12Osasuna B82426:7-110
    13CF Talavera82338:9-19
    14Zamora82338:9-19
    15Arenteiro82337:8-19
    16Unionistas83058:10-29
    17Ath Bilbao B82337:9-29
    18Merida AD830510:15-59
    19Arenas Getxo82248:14-68
    20Ourense CF80445:12-74

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