Málaga vs Mérida AD – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Málaga - Mérida AD
Result
1:1
05/05/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 35

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Rodriguez D. ,
  • 22', Enriquez R. , Larrubia D. ,
  • 32', Alvaro J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Villodres K. , Cordero A. ,
  • 58', 1 - 1, Dioni ,
  • 64', Alvaro J. , Martin J. ,
  • 70', Garcia V. , Sanchez D. ,
  • 73', Llacer L. 🟨,
  • 75', Juanjo , Beneit R. ,
  • 75', Chuma , Mizzian M. ,
  • 78', Sandoval D. 🟨,
  • 79', Acosta L. 🟨,
  • 83', Martin J. 🟨,
  • 86', Monte N. 🟨,
  • 86', Puga C. , Gabilondo J. ,
  • 86', Rodriguez G. , Juanpe ,
  • 86', Sandoval D. , Prada R. ,
  • 86', Rodriguez D. , Padilla J. ,
  • 90+3', Prada R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Málaga
57.8%
Draw
24.9%
Mérida AD
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 24.1% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.3% 24.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Málaga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Málaga, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Málaga - Mérida AD Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.46)
    3.72
    (3.79)
    5.27
    (6.71)
    8.8%
    (9.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 15).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • In this match Málaga is a favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Málaga won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Málaga - Mérida AD were as follows:
    10.12.2023 Mérida AD - Málaga 1:2
    Latest results of Málaga
    28.04.2024 Córdoba - Málaga 1:0
    21.04.2024 Málaga - Real Murcia 0:0
    07.04.2024 Málaga - Ceuta 1:1
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    21.04.2024 Melilla - Mérida AD 2:0
    13.04.2024 Mérida AD - Algeciras 3:1
    07.04.2024 Granada B - Mérida AD 0:2
    30.03.2024 Mérida AD - Córdoba 2:2
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3