Mérida AD vs Real Murcia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2 Mérida AD - Real Murcia
Result
1:4
23/02/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 2 - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
spainSpainFEF TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
47%53%
Goal Attempts
513
Shots on Goal
110
Shots off Goal
43
Corner Kicks
34
Goalkeeper Saves
60
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 30', Benito P. A. P. 🟨,
  • 37', Alvaro J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Alcania R. , Bosilj D. ,
  • 55', 0 - 1, Forns I. ,
  • 59', Alvaro J. , Miki ,
  • 59', del Cerro S. , Ganet P. ,
  • 63', Gomez I. , Boateng R. ,
  • 66', Benito P. A. P. , Buron L. ,
  • 66', Davo , Soler K. ,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Beltran L. ,
  • 72', Mier J. , Vicente D. ,
  • 77', Doncel C. , Carvalho M. ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, Bosilj D. (Pen),
  • 88', Beneit R. , Nabian H. ,
  • 88', Falcon E. , Pareja Alvarez L. ,
  • 90+3', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 3, Soler K. ,
  • 90+8', 1 - 4, ,

Chances of winning


Mérida AD
34.3%
Draw
30.6%
Real Murcia
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.1% 30% 40.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3% 29.8% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mérida AD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mérida AD's performance.
  • Real Murcia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Murcia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (-5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Murcia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Murcia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mérida AD - Real Murcia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.69
    (3.13)
    3
    (3.04)
    2.62
    (2.23)
    8.7%
    (9.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 8 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1.
    • Both teams are now playing unstable.
    • Mérida AD could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Murcia will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 11 head-to-head matches Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 4:11 (average 0.4:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mérida AD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mérida AD - Real Murcia were as follows:
    15.09.2024 Real Murcia - Mérida AD 2:0
    18.05.2024 Real Murcia - Mérida AD 1:1
    21.10.2023 Mérida AD - Real Murcia 0:1
    Latest results of Mérida AD
    15.02.2025 Intercity - Mérida AD 3:1
    08.02.2025 Mérida AD - Alcorcón 2:1
    01.02.2025 Betis B - Mérida AD 0:4
    26.01.2025 Ibiza - Mérida AD 3:0
    19.01.2025 Mérida AD - Marbella 4:2
    Latest results of Real Murcia
    16.02.2025 Real Murcia - Sevilla B 0:2
    09.02.2025 Marbella - Real Murcia 1:4
    01.02.2025 Real Murcia - Alcoyano 0:1
    29.01.2025 Real Murcia - Silkeborg IF 0:0
    Draw
    Promotion - Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1AntequeraPonferradina1 : 2, 1 : 0
    2AndorraUD Ibiza1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3GimnasticMurcia1 : 0, 1 : 1
    4Merida ADReal Sociedad B1 : 0, 0 : 1

    Final
    1PonferradinaAndorra0 : 1, 1 : 1
    2GimnasticReal Sociedad B2 : 1, 1 : 3