Maine Black Bears vs Merrimack Warriors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
21/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Maine Black Bears
41.2%
Draw
21.3%
Merrimack Warriors
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 20.4% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 22.2% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maine Black Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maine Black Bears than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.16)
    4.25
    (4.4)
    2.41
    (2.37)
    10.6%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maine won 5.
    • Maine is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Merrimack has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Maine has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Merrimack has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maine won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:11. (average 3.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maine won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 4.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 5:3
    02.11.2024 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 6:0
    04.11.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears 4:5
    03.11.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears 1:2
    05.02.2023 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 3:2
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesBentley Falcons5 : 1
    2Minnesota Duluth BulldogsPenn State Nittany Lions3 : 1
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks3 : 1
    4Denver PioneersCornell Big Red5 : 0
    5Michigan State SpartansConnecticut Huskies2 : 1
    6Dartmouth Big GreenWisconsin Badgers1 : 5
    7North Dakota Fighting HawksMerrimack Warriors3 : 0
    8Providence FriarsQuinnipiac Bobcats2 : 5

    Quarter-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesMinnesota Duluth Bulldogs4 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosDenver Pioneers2 : 6
    3Michigan State SpartansWisconsin Badgers3 : 4
    4North Dakota Fighting HawksQuinnipiac Bobcats5 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Michigan WolverinesDenver Pioneers
    2Wisconsin BadgersNorth Dakota Fighting Hawks

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2