Maine Black Bears vs Merrimack Warriors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
21/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 2)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)

Chances of winning


Maine Black Bears
41.2%
Draw
21.3%
Merrimack Warriors
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.6% 20.4% 37.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.3% 22.2% 34.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maine Black Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maine Black Bears than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.2
    (2.16)
    4.25
    (4.4)
    2.41
    (2.37)
    10.6%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maine won 5.
    • Maine is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Merrimack has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Maine has had a series of home games.
    • Recently, Merrimack has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Maine won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 21:11. (average 3.5:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maine won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 4.7:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors were as follows:
    20.02.2026 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 5:3
    02.11.2024 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 6:0
    04.11.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears 4:5
    03.11.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears 1:2
    05.02.2023 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 3:2
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/8-finals
    1Boston College EaglesBentley Falcons3 : 1
    2Providence FriarsDenver Pioneers1 : 5
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks2 : 1
    4Minnesota Golden GophersMassachusetts Minutemen4 : 5
    5Maine Black BearsPenn State Nittany Lions1 : 5
    6Connecticut HuskiesQuinnipiac Bobcats4 : 1
    7Michigan State SpartansCornell Big Red3 : 4
    8Boston University TerriersOhio State Buckeyes8 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Boston College EaglesDenver Pioneers1 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosMassachusetts Minutemen2 : 1
    3Penn State Nittany LionsConnecticut Huskies3 : 2
    4Cornell Big RedBoston University Terriers2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Denver PioneersWestern Michigan Broncos2 : 3
    2Penn State Nittany LionsBoston University Terriers1 : 3

    Final
    1Western Michigan BroncosBoston University Terriers6 : 2