Maine Black Bears vs Merrimack Warriors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

20/02/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Chances of winning


Maine Black Bears
43.3%
Draw
21.6%
Merrimack Warriors
35.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.4% 22% 34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7% 24.2% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Maine Black Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • Merrimack Warriors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maine Black Bears than the current prediction. (+4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.1
    (2.1)
    4.2
    (4.15)
    2.59
    (2.63)
    10.2%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
    Preview Facts
    • Maine is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Merrimack has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maine may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maine won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:8. (average 3.2:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maine won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:2. (average 4.5:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors were as follows:
    02.11.2024 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 6:0
    04.11.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears 4:5
    03.11.2023 Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears 1:2
    05.02.2023 Maine Black Bears - Merrimack Warriors 3:2
    11.11.2022 Merrimack Warriors - Maine Black Bears 1:0
    Draw
    2024/25

    1/8-finals
    1Boston College EaglesBentley Falcons3 : 1
    2Providence FriarsDenver Pioneers1 : 5
    3Western Michigan BroncosMinnesota State Mavericks2 : 1
    4Minnesota Golden GophersMassachusetts Minutemen4 : 5
    5Maine Black BearsPenn State Nittany Lions1 : 5
    6Connecticut HuskiesQuinnipiac Bobcats4 : 1
    7Michigan State SpartansCornell Big Red3 : 4
    8Boston University TerriersOhio State Buckeyes8 : 3

    Quarter-finals
    1Boston College EaglesDenver Pioneers1 : 3
    2Western Michigan BroncosMassachusetts Minutemen2 : 1
    3Penn State Nittany LionsConnecticut Huskies3 : 2
    4Cornell Big RedBoston University Terriers2 : 3

    Semi-finals
    1Denver PioneersWestern Michigan Broncos2 : 3
    2Penn State Nittany LionsBoston University Terriers1 : 3

    Final
    1Western Michigan BroncosBoston University Terriers6 : 2