Vermont Catamounts vs Merrimack Warriors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Basketball NCAA College Basketball
Result
66:59
14/12/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • NCAA

Chances of winning


Vermont Catamounts
70.2%		Merrimack Warriors
29.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.9% 35.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.1% 34.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Vermont Catamounts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Vermont Catamounts's performance.
  • Merrimack Warriors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merrimack Warriors might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vermont Catamounts than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Vermont Catamounts that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merrimack Warriors than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merrimack Warriors could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.34 ↓
    (1.41)
    		3.16 ↑
    (2.61)    		 6.3%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 136.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)
    What is the prediction for Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -3, OT - Vermont (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -3.5, OT - Vermont (1.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4, OT - Vermont (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -4.5, OT - Vermont (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5, OT - Vermont (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -5.5, OT - Vermont (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6, OT - Vermont (1.84) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -6.5, OT - Vermont (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7, OT - Vermont (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -7.5, OT - Vermont (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8, OT - Vermont (2.15) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -8.5, OT - Vermont (2.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9, OT - Vermont (2.37) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -9.5, OT - Vermont (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -10, OT - Vermont (2.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -10.5, OT - Vermont (2.55) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Vermont (votes: 16 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 71:65.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent performances by Vermont have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Merrimack is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Vermont may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Vermont is a strong favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Vermont won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 184:163. (average 61.3:54.3).
    • Including home match between the teams, Vermont won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 67:55.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Merrimack Warriors - Vermont Catamounts 65:51
    06.11.2023 Vermont Catamounts - Merrimack Warriors 67:55
    04.12.2022 Merrimack Warriors - Vermont Catamounts 43:66
    Latest results of Vermont Catamounts
    06.12.2025 Pepperdine Waves - Vermont Catamounts 56:65
    03.12.2025 Oregon State Beavers - Vermont Catamounts 80:58
    30.11.2025 Vermont Catamounts - Yale Bulldogs 74:77
    26.11.2025 Princeton Tigers - Vermont Catamounts 74:79
    25.11.2025 Vermont Catamounts - Rhode Island Rams 65:80 ✺
    Latest results of Merrimack Warriors
    10.12.2025 Princeton Tigers - Merrimack Warriors 56:59
    07.12.2025 Merrimack Warriors - Fairfield Stags 74:63
    04.12.2025 Merrimack Warriors - Rider Broncs 68:66
    30.11.2025 La Salle Explorers - Merrimack Warriors 60:66
    29.11.2025 Hofstra Pride - Merrimack Warriors 78:58
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/64-finals
    1DukeBye
    2ByeSiena
    3Ohio StateBye
    4ByeTCU
    5St. John's (N.Y.)Bye
    6ByeNorthern Iowa
    7KansasBye
    8ByeCalifornia Baptist
    9LouisvilleBye
    10ByeSouth Florida
    11Michigan StateBye
    12ByeNorth Dakota St
    13UCLABye
    14ByeUCF Knights
    15UConnBye
    16ByeFurman
    17FloridaBye
    18LehighPrairie View A&M55 : 67
    19ClemsonBye
    20ByeIowa
    21VanderbiltBye
    22ByeMcNeese State
    23NebraskaBye
    24ByeTroy
    25North CarolinaBye
    26ByeVCU Rams
    27IllinoisBye
    28ByePenn
    29St. Marys (CA)Bye
    30ByeTexas A&M
    31HoustonBye
    32ByeIdaho
    33ArizonaBye
    34ByeLIU Sharks
    35VillanovaBye
    36ByeUtah State
    37WisconsinBye
    38ByeHigh Point
    39ArkansasBye
    40ByeHawaii
    41Brigham YoungBye
    42NC StateTexas66 : 68
    43GonzagaBye
    44ByeKennesaw State
    45Miami (FL)Bye
    46ByeMissouri
    47PurdueBye
    48ByeQueens Royals
    49MichiganBye
    50HowardUMBC Retrievers86 : 83
    51GeorgiaBye
    52ByeSt. Louis Billikens
    53Texas TechBye
    54ByeAkron
    55AlabamaBye
    56ByeHofstra
    57TennesseeBye
    58SMU MustangsMiami (Ohio)79 : 89
    59VirginiaBye
    60ByeWright State
    61KentuckyBye
    62ByeSanta Clara
    63Iowa StateBye
    64ByeTennessee State

    1/32-finals
    1DukeSiena71 : 65
    2Ohio StateTCU64 : 66
    3St. John's (N.Y.)Northern Iowa79 : 53
    4KansasCalifornia Baptist68 : 60
    5LouisvilleSouth Florida83 : 79
    6Michigan StateNorth Dakota St92 : 67
    7UCLAUCF Knights75 : 71
    8UConnFurman82 : 71
    9FloridaPrairie View A&M114 : 55
    10ClemsonIowa61 : 67
    11VanderbiltMcNeese State78 : 68
    12NebraskaTroy76 : 47
    13North CarolinaVCU Rams78 : 82
    14IllinoisPenn105 : 70
    15St. Marys (CA)Texas A&M50 : 63
    16HoustonIdaho78 : 47
    17ArizonaLIU Sharks92 : 58
    18VillanovaUtah State76 : 86
    19WisconsinHigh Point82 : 83
    20ArkansasHawaii97 : 78
    21Brigham YoungTexas71 : 79
    22GonzagaKennesaw State73 : 64
    23Miami (FL)Missouri80 : 66
    24PurdueQueens Royals104 : 71
    25MichiganHoward101 : 80
    26GeorgiaSt. Louis Billikens77 : 102
    27Texas TechAkron91 : 71
    28AlabamaHofstra90 : 70
    29TennesseeMiami (Ohio)78 : 56
    30VirginiaWright State82 : 73
    31KentuckySanta Clara89 : 84
    32Iowa StateTennessee State108 : 74

    1/16-finals
    1DukeTCU
    2St. John's (N.Y.)Kansas
    3LouisvilleMichigan State
    4UCLAUConn
    5FloridaIowa
    6VanderbiltNebraska
    7VCU RamsIllinois
    8Texas A&MHouston
    9ArizonaUtah State
    10High PointArkansas
    11TexasGonzaga
    12Miami (FL)Purdue
    13MichiganSt. Louis Billikens
    14Texas TechAlabama
    15TennesseeVirginia
    16KentuckyIowa State

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2
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