Result
1:2
08/08/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Astana, hard - Quarter-finals
Chances of winning
Mert Alkaya
48.1% | Egor Gerasimov
51.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)Egor Gerasimov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Egor Gerasimov than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Mert Alkaya - Egor Gerasimov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.77) |
|
1.78 ↓
(1.96) |
8.3%
(7.5%) | |
Preview Facts
- Alkaya is ranked ATP: 708. Gerasimov is ranked ATP: 591.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Mert Alkaya won against Egor Gerasimov?
Mert Alkaya has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Egor Gerasimov won against Mert Alkaya?
Egor Gerasimov has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mert Alkaya - Egor Gerasimov were as follows:
Latest results of Mert Alkaya
Latest results of Egor Gerasimov
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Purtseladze S. (1) | Lobanov A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Ianin N. | Aleshchev A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Dubrouski M. | Lomakin G. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Borisiouk M. | Palan D. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Tokuda R. (3) | Krajci M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Alkaya M. | Klichnikov A. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Horoz A. | Ichikawa T. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Tkemaladze Z. | Gerasimov E. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Zhukov M. (7) | Maratuly I. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Tazabekov D. | Tiukaev R. | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Abdusamadov D. | Duran T. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Ivanov S. | Arutiunian E. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Leong M. W. K. (8) | Omarkhanov A. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Arcon A. | Tamm K. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Philippov E. | Khodorchenko M. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Nurlanuly Z. (RET.) | Bar Biryukov P. (2) | 0 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Purtseladze S. (1) | Ianin N. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Dubrouski M. | Borisiouk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Tokuda R. (3) | Alkaya M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Ichikawa T. | Gerasimov E. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Zhukov M. (7) | Tazabekov D. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Duran T. (RET.) | Arutiunian E. (4) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Leong M. W. K. (8) | Tamm K. | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Philippov E. | Bar Biryukov P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Purtseladze S. (1) | Borisiouk M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Alkaya M. | Gerasimov E. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Zhukov M. (7) | Arutiunian E. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Leong M. W. K. (8) | Bar Biryukov P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Borisiouk M. | Gerasimov E. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Arutiunian E. (4) | Bar Biryukov P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Gerasimov E. (6) | Bar Biryukov P. (2) | 0 : 2 |
