Result
1:2
22/02/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lugano - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 10 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 54% | 65% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 86% (38/44) | 78% (43/55) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 66% (25/38) | 72% (21/29) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 22% (12/55) | 16% (7/44) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 28% (8/29) | 34% (13/38) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 28 | 35 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 22 | 32 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 79% (15/19) | 78% (18/23) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 77% (63/82) | 76% (62/82) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (20/82) | 23% (19/82) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (83/164) | 49% (81/164) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 93% (14/15) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 6% (1/16) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 52% (16/31) | 48% (15/31) |
Chances of winning
Mert Alkaya
49.7% | Niels Visker
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mert Alkaya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mert Alkaya's form might have worsened.Niels Visker has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Niels Visker's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mert Alkaya than the current prediction. (+13.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mert Alkaya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Niels Visker than the current prediction. (-13.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Niels Visker, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Mert Alkaya - Niels Visker Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.89 ↑
(1.53) |
|
1.86 ↓
(2.34) |
6.8%
(7.9%) | |
What is the prediction for Mert Alkaya - Niels Visker?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Alkaya will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Visker will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Visker (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Alkaya is ranked ATP: 383. Visker is ranked ATP: 565.
- Alkaya is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Visker has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Alkaya may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Mert Alkaya won against Niels Visker?
Mert Alkaya has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Niels Visker won against Mert Alkaya?
Niels Visker has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mert Alkaya - Niels Visker were as follows:
Latest results of Mert Alkaya
Latest results of Niels Visker
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Budkov Kjaer N. (1) | Bernet H. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Cassone M. | Nesterov P. (LL) | |
| 3 | Dodig M. | Forejtek J. (Q) | |
| 4 | Gentzsch T. | Skatov T. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sachko V. (4) | Brunclik P. (Q) | |
| 6 | Schwaerzler J. J. | Basic M. (Q) | |
| 7 | Fatic N. | Moro Canas A. | |
| 8 | Stricker D. (WC) | Grenier H. (6) | |
| 9 | Rybakov A. (LL) | Mrva M. (NG) | |
| 10 | Bertola R. | Mmoh M. | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Gakhov I. | Piraino G. (Q) | |
| 12 | Squire H. | Piros Z. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Holmgren A. (8) | Uchida K. | |
| 14 | Brunold M. (WC) | Knaff A. (Q) | |
| 15 | Topo M. | Huesler M. | |
| 16 | Dietrich D. (Q) | Glinka D. (2) | |
1/8-finalsQuarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
