Havant & Waterlooville vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
18/01/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: Southern League Premier South - Round 27

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 65', 0 - 1, Livermore A. ,

Chances of winning


Havant & Waterlooville
49.3%
Draw
23.6%
Merthyr Town
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.2% 24.2% 36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39% 24.3% 36.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Havant & Waterlooville has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Havant & Waterlooville's performance.
  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Merthyr Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Havant & Waterlooville than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Havant & Waterlooville that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+9.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Havant & Waterlooville - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.85
    (2.32)
    3.86
    (3.76)
    3.36
    (2.49)
    9.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    Preview Facts
    • One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).
    • Havant is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Merthyr is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Merthyr could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Merthyr have a series of home games.
    • Havant will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Havant won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:6 (average 1.5:3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Havant won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Havant & Waterlooville - Merthyr Town were as follows:
    09.11.2024 Merthyr Town - Havant & Waterlooville 5:1
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English Southern League South Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walton & Hersham ✔ 40294793:405391
    2Gloucester ✔ 40247991:494279
    3Farnham ✔ 38238785:483777
    4Poole402011975:472871
    5Berkhamsted402091160:491169
    6Sholing401714968:511765
    7Chertsey4018101262:501264
    8Havant & W401771677:651258
    9Uxbridge4015121370:66457
    10Gosport391761665:66-157
    11Bracknell401591667:66154
    12Plymouth Parkway401481856:76-2050
    13Hanwell Town391391754:59-548
    14Basingstoke401391857:68-1148
    15Wimborne3911131552:57-546
    16Yate Town4012101852:60-846
    17Evesham4011131650:59-946
    18Taunton391281962:70-844
    19Weymouth401282048:68-2044
    20Dorchester409121948:75-2739
    21Hungerford ✔ 409102147:86-3937
    22Tiverton ✔ 38533036:100-6418

          Promotion ~ National League South
          Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Walton & Hersham is Confirmed as championsnQualified for National League South
    Gloucester is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )
    Farnham is Qualified for Southern League Premier South (Play Offs )
    Hungerford is Relegated to
    Tiverton is Relegated to