Winchester City vs Merthyr Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Southern League South Division Winchester City - Merthyr Town
Result
1:3
29/03/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Southern League Premier South - Round 37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Rees R. ,
  • 16', 0 - 2, Lucas L. ,
  • 44', 0 - 3, Cox C. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 1 - 3, Hodan R. ,

Chances of winning


Winchester City
21.3%
Draw
22.1%
Merthyr Town
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
18.4% 20.6% 61%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18% 20.1% 62.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Winchester City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • Merthyr Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Winchester City than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Merthyr Town than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Merthyr Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Winchester City - Merthyr Town Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.28
    (4.94)
    4.13
    (4.43)
    1.61
    (1.5)
    9.7%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Winchester won 2.
    • Recent matches Winchester is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Merthyr in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Merthyr is a favorite.
    • Last 6 head-to-head matches Winchester won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:12 (average 2.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Winchester won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:2 (average 2:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Winchester City - Merthyr Town were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Merthyr Town - Winchester City 3:1
    16.04.2024 Winchester City - Merthyr Town 2:0
    24.10.2023 Merthyr Town - Winchester City 1:2
    04.02.2023 Winchester City - Merthyr Town 2:2
    27.09.2022 Merthyr Town - Winchester City 5:2
    Latest results of Winchester City
    Latest results of Merthyr Town
    English Southern League South Division Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sholing43108:3510
    2Gloucester430110:559
    3Berkhamsted43014:319
    4Farnham42206:428
    5Walton & Hersham421111:837
    6Taunton42117:617
    7Poole42117:8-17
    8Basingstoke41305:326
    9Uxbridge41305:416
    10Hungerford42025:506
    11Hanwell Town42024:406
    12Evesham41215:415
    13Wimborne41216:605
    14Chertsey41122:204
    15Gosport41129:10-14
    16Weymouth41126:7-14
    17Plymouth Parkway41126:10-44
    18Tiverton41034:6-23
    19Havant & W41035:8-33
    20Bracknell40225:7-22
    21Dorchester40224:7-32
    22Yate Town40221:5-42

          Promotion ~ National League South
          Promotion ~ Southern League Premier South (Play Offs: )
          Relegation