Atletico Castegnato vs Mestre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group C Atletico Castegnato - Mestre
Result
3:2
10/03/2024 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP C - ROUND 26

Chances of winning


Atletico Castegnato
30.7%
Draw
29.2%
Mestre
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 29% 32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1% 30.2% 31.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Atletico Castegnato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Atletico Castegnato's form might have worsened.
  • Mestre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mestre's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atletico Castegnato than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Atletico Castegnato, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mestre than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mestre, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Atletico Castegnato - Mestre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.37)
    3.12
    (3.15)
    2.27
    (2.8)
    9.9%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 in the zone Serie D ~ Group C (Play Out: ) and 10).
    • Recent matches Castegnato is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Mestre is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Castegnato won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Atletico Castegnato - Mestre were as follows:
    01.11.2023 Mestre - Atletico Castegnato 0:3
    Latest results of Atletico Castegnato
    Latest results of Mestre
    03.03.2024 Mestre - Union Clodiense 1:1
    25.02.2024 Cjarlins Muzane - Mestre 2:0
    18.02.2024 Mestre - Treviso 1:0
    04.02.2024 Breno - Mestre 0:1
    28.01.2024 Mestre - Chions 2:0
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1