Metalist 1925 vs Kolos Kovalivka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka
Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Shandor O. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
147
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
911
Fouls
119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Rrapaj A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Tsurikov A. 🟨,
  • 57', Antyukh D. 🟨,
  • 60', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
  • 62', Elias 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Antyukh D. , Rashica E. (A),
  • 64', Antyukh D. , Kogut I. ,
  • 65', Alefirenko D. , Kane I. ,
  • 65', Gusol A. , Tretyakov M. ,
  • 75', Itodo P. , Mba C. ,
  • 76', Rrapaj A. , Krasniqi I. ,
  • 76', Klymchuk Y. , Oyewusi M. ,
  • 80', Kozik E. 🟨,
  • 83', Martynyuk O. 🟨,
  • 88', Ponedelnik A. , Salabay A. ,
  • 90', Lytvynenko I. , Churko V. ,

Chances of winning


Metalist 1925
37.5%
Draw
32.5%
Kolos Kovalivka
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.5% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metalist 1925 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist 1925 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist 1925, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.1)
    2.9
    (3.13)
    3.14
    (3.08)
    6.1%
    (12%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Metalist 1925 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kolos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1.
    • Metalist 1925 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kolos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kolos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka 0:0
    07.04.2024 Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist 1925 1:1
    24.09.2023 Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka 0:0
    09.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist 1925 3:0
    30.09.2022 Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka 2:0
    Latest results of Metalist 1925
    Latest results of Kolos Kovalivka
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk852115:8717
    2Dyn. Kyiv844022:111116
    3Kryvbas851216:11516
    4Polissya Zhytomyr850314:8615
    5Metalist 1925843111:5615
    6LNZ Cherkasy84229:7214
    7Kolos Kovalivka84228:6214
    8Karpaty Lviv825114:12211
    9FK Zorya Luhansk832311:10111
    10Obolon82427:8-110
    11Kudrivka831412:14-210
    12Veres-Rivne82246:9-38
    13Oleksandriya82159:15-67
    14Rukh Lviv82066:16-106
    15SC Poltava81165:17-124
    16Epitsentr81078:16-83

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga