Metalist 1925 vs Kolos Kovalivka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/09/2025 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Shandor O. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
147
Shots on target
51
Corner Kicks
64
Yellow Cards
34
Total shots
147
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
96
Corner Kicks
64
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
911
Fouls
119

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 41', Rrapaj A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 54', Tsurikov A. 🟨,
  • 57', Antyukh D. 🟨,
  • 60', Kaliuzhnyi I. 🟨,
  • 62', Elias 🟨,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Antyukh D. , Rashica E. (A),
  • 64', Antyukh D. , Kogut I. ,
  • 65', Alefirenko D. , Kane I. ,
  • 65', Gusol A. , Tretyakov M. ,
  • 75', Itodo P. , Mba C. ,
  • 76', Rrapaj A. , Krasniqi I. ,
  • 76', Klymchuk Y. , Oyewusi M. ,
  • 80', Kozik E. 🟨,
  • 83', Martynyuk O. 🟨,
  • 88', Ponedelnik A. , Salabay A. ,
  • 90', Lytvynenko I. , Churko V. ,

Chances of winning


Metalist 1925
37.5%
Draw
32.5%
Kolos Kovalivka
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.5% 28.5% 29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7% 27.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metalist 1925 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Kolos Kovalivka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalist 1925 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalist 1925, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kolos Kovalivka than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
  • Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.52
    (2.1)
    2.9
    (3.13)
    3.14
    (3.08)
    6.1%
    (12%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Metalist 1925 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kolos will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1.
    • Metalist 1925 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Kolos's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Kolos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metalist 1925 won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 0.4:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka were as follows:
    23.03.2025 Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka 0:0
    07.04.2024 Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist 1925 1:1
    24.09.2023 Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka 0:0
    09.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka - Metalist 1925 3:0
    30.09.2022 Metalist 1925 - Kolos Kovalivka 2:0
    Latest results of Metalist 1925
    Latest results of Kolos Kovalivka
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Shakhtar Donetsk18125146:123441
    2LNZ Cherkasy18122423:111238
    3Polissya Zhytomyr18113431:121936
    4Dyn. Kyiv1895440:211932
    5Kryvbas1886431:25630
    6Metalist 19251777319:12728
    7Kolos Kovalivka1877418:15328
    8FK Zorya Luhansk1866622:23-124
    9Veres-Rivne1756616:20-421
    10Obolon1755713:27-1420
    11Rukh Lviv18611115:25-1019
    12Karpaty Lviv1847720:25-519
    13Kudrivka1854923:32-919
    14Epitsentr18421218:33-1514
    15Oleksandriya17251014:29-1511
    16SC Poltava18231316:43-279

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga