Barys Astana vs Metallurg Magnitogorsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 OT
17/02/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KHL

Match Stats

Shots on Goal
3835
Shooting PCT
5.26% (2/38)8.57% (3/35)
Blocked shots
1711
Goalkeeper Saves
3236
Saves PCT
91.43% (32/35)94.74% (36/38)
Penalties
25
PIM
410
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
20% (1/5)0% (0/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (2/2)80% (4/5)
Hits
65
Faceoffs Won
2229
Faceoffs %
43.1456.86
Giveaways
179
Takeaways
63
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 01:49, Iskhakov R. (2 min),
  • 06:04, 0 - 1, Iskhakov R. (G), Minulin A. (A), Mikhailis N. (A2)
  • 17:24, (2 min),
  • 18:04, Morelli M. (2 min),
  • 2nd Period (1 - 1)
  • 05:06, 0 - 2, Iskhakov R. (G), Mikhailis N. (A), Petunin A. (A2)
  • 09:23, Tkachev V. (2 min),
  • 09:23, Willman M. (2 min),
  • 14:20, Barach D. (2 min),
  • 15:17, 1 - 2, Thompson T. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Walsh R. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:17, Vovchenko D. (2 min),
  • 14:39, 2 - 2, Walsh R. (G), Vecchione M. (A), Morelli M. (A2)
  • Overtime (0 - 1)
  • 00:47, 2 - 3, Barach D. (G), Smolin A. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Barys Astana
16.5%
Draw
18.1%
Metallurg Magnitogorsk
65.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.9% 18.1% 66%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.1% 19.5% 61.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barys Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Metallurg Magnitogorsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barys Astana than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.79
    (5.94)
    5.29
    (5.21)
    1.46
    (1.43)
    4.7%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
    What is the prediction for Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Barys will win (votes: 3 - 25%). Metallurg M will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 13.8%69.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Metallurg M is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Barys won 0.
    • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
    • Metallurg M may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Metallurg M is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Barys won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 16 matches, and goals 33:64. (average 1.7:3.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Barys won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 2.1:3.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk were as follows:
    29.11.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 5:2
    09.11.2025 Barys Astana - Metallurg Magnitogorsk 1:4
    18.09.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 5:1
    29.08.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 2:1
    26.02.2025 Metallurg Magnitogorsk - Barys Astana 4:1
    Latest results of Barys Astana
    KHL Table
    Main

    Western Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Lokomotiv Yaroslavl ✔ 58299515152:11281
    2Cherepovets ✔ 59279419175:15876
    3Dinamo Minsk ✔ 57295716208:13975
    4Nizhny Novgorod ✔ 58249619167:15572
    5CSKA Moscow57283818141:12670
    6Dynamo Moscow572210421155:14368
    7SKA St. Petersburg56227720160:14765
    8Spartak Moscow57245622166:17164
    9Shanghai581551127144:19151
    10Lada59152735133:20641
    11Sochi56142832115:19940


    Eastern Conference
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Magnitogorsk ✔ 5635858224:15091
    2Avangard Omsk ✔ 57319413194:13584
    3Bars Kazan ✔ 57325515175:13879
    4Yekaterinburg57257421171:14168
    5Salavat Ufa56236423147:14162
    6Niznekamsk58227326148:16161
    7Tractor Chelyabinsk57234624179:17860
    8Novosibirsk591213727141:17757
    9Khabarovsk58174730132:16349
    10Barys Astana591351031131:17446
    11Vladivostok561141031123:17640

          Promotion ~ KHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lokomotiv Yaroslavl is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Cherepovets is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dinamo Minsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Nizhny Novgorod is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitogorsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Avangard Omsk is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Bars Kazan is Qualified for KHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)