Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Gornyak-UGMK – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2 OT
27/01/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 02:37, 0 - 1, Sushchev V. (G), Demidovich V. (A), Bolshakov M. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 0)
  • 13:58, 1 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Sokolov D. (A2)
  • 16:00, 2 - 1, Gorshkov A. (G), Vinogradov A. (A), Churkin V. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (0 - 1)
  • 10:58, 2 - 2, Trofimov Y. (G), Lukhovskoy N. (A),
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 04:54, 3 - 2, Gorshkov A. (G),

Chances of winning


Metallurg Novokuznetsk
52.5%
Draw
23.2%
Gornyak-UGMK
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.6% 20.8% 22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.2% 21.3% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Gornyak-UGMK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.61)
    3.95
    (4.38)
    3.76
    (4.03)
    9.1%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 5.
    • Metallurg N is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Gornyak-UGMK's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gornyak-UGMK may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 71:53. (average 3.6:2.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 38:23. (average 3.8:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK were as follows:
    22.10.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4:5
    12.03.2025 Gornyak-UGMK - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:2
    15.09.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 2:0
    27.08.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:2
    20.01.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Gornyak-UGMK 4:1
    Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
    20.01.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Tambov 5:2
    18.01.2026 Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov 1:4
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 56341147196:12294
    2HC Yugra ✔ 5534867151:8590
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5531699196:11183
    4Khimik54295713161:11175
    5Magnitka Magnitogorsk54247815160:12070
    6Gornyak55238717161:13469
    7Perm552012518133:13969
    8Izhevsk55283618139:12268
    9CSK VVS54238617153:12568
    10Ryazan54257418146:12868
    11Dizel55255817139:12268
    12Chelmet Chelyabinsk54255717155:14467
    13Omskie Krylia55266320145:12267
    14Krasnoyarsk571811820134:13866
    15Torpedo Gorky54227619151:12564
    16Rubin Tyumen551712620131:12564
    17Bars542241216116:11964
    18Toros Neftekamsk55216820127:13762
    19Kurgan55197722129:13059
    20Dinamo St. Petersburg55215623146:14158
    21Zvezda Moscow54224523119:12557
    22AKM551213624124:15356
    23Tambov55177625136:15154
    24SKA-VMF St. Petersburg55194626109:14352
    25Olympia5412892595:14049
    26Orsk5317292586:14047
    27Dyn. Altay56127928120:17247
    28Buran Voronezh56146729117:16647
    29Kristall Saratov54163629116:15444
    30HK Norilsk55135532109:15341
    31Chelny54127233122:16840
    32HC Rostov55113932110:16737

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)