Izhstal vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:29, 1 - 0, Kovalyov A. (G), Glebov G. (A), Yakovlev P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 17:58, 1 - 1, Kodola V. (G), Shalagin M. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:01, 1 - 2, Kodola V. (G),
  • 12:32, 2 - 2, Glebov G. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)
  • 1, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Shiksatdarov I. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Sheshin D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Kovalyov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Sokolov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kruzhenkov Y. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Gorshkov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Astashevsky S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Apalkov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Dyuryagin D. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Izhstal
25.5%
Draw
22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 24% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 25.3% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (3.15)
    4.13
    (3.8)
    1.76
    (1.93)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Izhstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Metallurg N is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Izhstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 31:58. (average 1.8:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 1:3
    12.01.2025 Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:5
    10.11.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 6:5
    09.12.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 3:2
    05.11.2023 Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1:2
    Latest results of Izhstal
    15.01.2026 Izhstal - Dynamo-Altay 5:3
    10.01.2026 Tambov - Izhstal 2:1
    08.01.2026 Rostov - Izhstal 4:2
    06.01.2026 Buran Voronezh - Izhstal 0:4
    28.12.2025 Izhstal - Omskie Krylia 3:2
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)4 : 2
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)3 : 3
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)4 : 1
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)4 : 2
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)4 : 2
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)TBD #2
    2Khimik (4)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)
    3HC Yugra (2)Omskie Krylia (7)
    4Almetyevsk (3)Ryazan (6)