Izhstal vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3 penalties
17/01/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 09:29, 1 - 0, Kovalyov A. (G), Glebov G. (A), Yakovlev P. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 17:58, 1 - 1, Kodola V. (G), Shalagin M. (A), Mineyev M. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 01:01, 1 - 2, Kodola V. (G),
  • 12:32, 2 - 2, Glebov G. (G), Dyuryagin D. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)
  • 1, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Shiksatdarov I. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Sheshin D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Kovalyov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Sokolov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Kruzhenkov Y. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Gorshkov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Astashevsky S. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Apalkov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Dyuryagin D. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Izhstal
25.5%
Draw
22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
52.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.9% 24% 47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4% 25.3% 44.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Izhstal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Izhstal than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.61
    (3.15)
    4.13
    (3.8)
    1.76
    (1.93)
    8.8%
    (9.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 1.
    • Recent performances by Izhstal have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Metallurg N is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Izhstal may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Izhstal won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 31:58. (average 1.8:3.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Izhstal won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 13:22. (average 1.6:2.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
    03.11.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 1:3
    12.01.2025 Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 0:5
    10.11.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 6:5
    09.12.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Izhstal 3:2
    05.11.2023 Izhstal - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1:2
    Latest results of Izhstal
    15.01.2026 Izhstal - Dynamo-Altay 5:3
    10.01.2026 Tambov - Izhstal 2:1
    08.01.2026 Rostov - Izhstal 4:2
    06.01.2026 Buran Voronezh - Izhstal 0:4
    28.12.2025 Izhstal - Omskie Krylia 3:2
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 55341137194:11993
    2HC Yugra ✔ 5334757147:8187
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5331598188:10381
    4Khimik54295713161:11175
    5Izhevsk55283618139:12268
    6Magnitka Magnitogorsk52237715153:11467
    7Gornyak54228717157:13267
    8CSK VVS53228617149:12566
    9Ryazan53247418144:12866
    10Dizel53245816135:11866
    11Omskie Krylia54256320142:12165
    12Chelmet Chelyabinsk53245717153:14365
    13Perm531812518126:13865
    14Bars542241216116:11964
    15Rubin Tyumen541712520130:12363
    16Torpedo Gorky52217618142:11962
    17Toros Neftekamsk54216819125:13162
    18Krasnoyarsk55189820130:13662
    19Dinamo St. Petersburg54215622145:13758
    20Kurgan54187722127:12957
    21AKM541213623122:14956
    22Zvezda Moscow53214523115:12455
    23SKA-VMF St. Petersburg55194626109:14352
    24Tambov53166625129:14650
    25Olympia5212892395:13549
    26Dyn. Altay56127928120:17247
    27Buran Voronezh55146629115:16346
    28Orsk5116292482:13345
    29Kristall Saratov52153628110:14942
    30HK Norilsk53135530107:14841
    31Chelny52127231120:16340
    32HC Rostov54113931108:16137

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)