Metallurg Novokuznetsk vs Magnitka Magnitogorsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:5
31/01/2026 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 1)
  • 05:02, 0 - 1, Boltanov A. (G), Grass M. (A), Mastryukov A. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (2 - 2)
  • 00:57, 0 - 2, Zimin N. (G), Penzin Y. (A), Shetle E. (A2)
  • 01:23, 1 - 2, Serdyuk Y. (G), Guslistov N. (A), Shalagin M. (A2)
  • 05:48, 1 - 3, Kuzyakin A. (G), Shetle E. (A),
  • 09:30, 2 - 3, Serdyuk Y. (G), Vinogradov A. (A),
  • 3rd Period (0 - 2)
  • 17:16, 2 - 4, Mirzabalayev A. (G),
  • 19:10, 2 - 5, Osipovich B. (G),

Chances of winning


Metallurg Novokuznetsk
50.3%
Draw
22.6%
Magnitka Magnitogorsk
27.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.3% 20.3% 20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3% 22.2% 22.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metallurg Novokuznetsk's form might have worsened.
  • Magnitka Magnitogorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Magnitka Magnitogorsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Magnitka Magnitogorsk than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.55)
    4.07
    (4.53)
    3.38
    (4.49)
    9%
    (8.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 3.
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Magnitka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Metallurg N will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Metallurg N won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:25. (average 2.3:2.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metallurg N won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 12:11. (average 2.4:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 6:4
    05.04.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk 2:4
    03.04.2025 Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 2:3
    01.04.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Magnitka Magnitogorsk 4:0
    29.03.2025 Magnitka Magnitogorsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1:2
    Latest results of Magnitka Magnitogorsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 61391147222:130104
    2HC Yugra ✔ 6138878175:9299
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 6034899217:12493
    4Khimik ✔ 61345715179:12185
    5Ryazan ✔ 61298519159:13779
    6Chelmet Chelyabinsk ✔ 60305718176:15977
    7Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ 602581116174:13677
    8Gornyak ✔ 602510718179:14477
    9Omskie Krylia ✔ 60288420160:12876
    10Perm ✔ 602113620142:15174
    11Izhevsk ✔ 60313620155:13674
    12Torpedo Gorky ✔ 622410622174:14574
    13Rubin Tyumen602013720149:13473
    14CSK VVS60248820163:14372
    15Dizel ✔ 61275821150:13972
    16Krasnoyarsk622111822146:15172
    17Bars612361319128:13871
    18Toros Neftekamsk60226923136:14865
    19Dinamo St. Petersburg60235626156:16262
    20Zvezda Moscow60235626135:14162
    21Kurgan60207825136:14662
    22SKA-VMF St. Petersburg61224827123:15160
    23AKM611313827136:16960
    24Olympia601410927107:15357
    25Tambov60178629144:16756
    26Kristall Saratov60194631140:17252
    27Orsk601831029100:16352
    28Buran Voronezh62166733130:18151
    29Dyn. Altay621371131133:19351
    30HK Norilsk61165535120:16847
    31Chelny60128436132:19044
    32HC Rostov61134935117:18143

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gornyak is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Omskie Krylia is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Perm is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Torpedo Gorky is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Dizel is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)