Molot Perm vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 OT
21/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:53, 0 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Naumov V. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)
  • 06:01, 1 - 1, Sinyavsky P. (G), Lapin D. (A), Shlykov V. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:35, 2 - 1, Zenchikov I. (G), Lapin D. (A), Kozhevnikov A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Molot Perm
24.3%
Draw
22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 23% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 23.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Novokuznetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molot Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (3.12)
    4.13
    (3.98)
    1.72
    (1.91)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Metallurg N will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metallurg N: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metallurg Novokuznetsk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3.
    • Molot has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Metallurg N is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Molot won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:56. (average 2.3:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.5:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
    30.10.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 5:1
    10.01.2025 Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3:2
    12.11.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 0:2
    25.08.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 3:1
    11.12.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 2:5
    Latest results of Molot Perm
    19.01.2026 Molot Perm - Dynamo-Altay 3:2
    14.01.2026 Tambov - Molot Perm 3:0
    12.01.2026 Rostov - Molot Perm 4:5
    24.12.2025 Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia 1:4
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 61391147222:130104
    2HC Yugra ✔ 6038868174:9098
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5934799215:12391
    4Khimik ✔ 60335715176:12083
    5Ryazan ✔ 60288519157:13677
    6Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ 592581016171:13276
    7Chelmet Chelyabinsk ✔ 59295718172:15675
    8Gornyak ✔ 59259718176:14275
    9Izhevsk ✔ 59313619152:13274
    10Torpedo Gorky ✔ 612410621170:13874
    11Omskie Krylia ✔ 59287420156:12574
    12Dizel60275820149:13672
    13Krasnoyarsk622111822146:15172
    14Perm592112620138:14872
    15CSK VVS59248720160:13971
    16Rubin Tyumen591913720145:13371
    17Bars602351319125:13669
    18Toros Neftekamsk59226823134:14564
    19Zvezda Moscow59235625134:13962
    20Dinamo St. Petersburg60235626156:16262
    21Kurgan59207725134:14361
    22SKA-VMF St. Petersburg61224827123:15160
    23AKM611313827136:16960
    24Tambov60178629144:16756
    25Olympia59149927103:15055
    26Orsk5918392997:15951
    27Buran Voronezh62166733130:18151
    28Kristall Saratov59184631133:16850
    29Dyn. Altay611271131128:19049
    30HK Norilsk60165534117:16347
    31Chelny59128435131:18644
    32HC Rostov61134935117:18143

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gornyak is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Torpedo Gorky is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Omskie Krylia is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)