Molot Perm vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 OT
21/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 0)
  • 3rd Period (1 - 1)
  • 04:53, 0 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Naumov V. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)
  • 06:01, 1 - 1, Sinyavsky P. (G), Lapin D. (A), Shlykov V. (A2)
  • Overtime (1 - 0)
  • 00:35, 2 - 1, Zenchikov I. (G), Lapin D. (A), Kozhevnikov A. (A2)

Chances of winning


Molot Perm
24.3%
Draw
22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
53.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 23% 47.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.3% 23.8% 46.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Novokuznetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molot Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.79
    (3.12)
    4.13
    (3.98)
    1.72
    (1.91)
    8.8%
    (9.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
    What is the prediction for Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Metallurg N will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metallurg N: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metallurg Novokuznetsk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3.
    • Molot has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Metallurg N is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is the team to beat.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Molot won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:56. (average 2.3:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.5:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
    30.10.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 5:1
    10.01.2025 Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 3:2
    12.11.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 0:2
    25.08.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 3:1
    11.12.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Molot Perm 2:5
    Latest results of Molot Perm
    19.01.2026 Molot Perm - Dynamo-Altay 3:2
    14.01.2026 Tambov - Molot Perm 3:0
    12.01.2026 Rostov - Molot Perm 4:5
    24.12.2025 Molot Perm - Omskie Krylia 1:4
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)CSK VVS (16)4 : 2
    2Gornyak (8)Perm (9)3 : 3
    3Khimik (4)Izhevsk (13)4 : 1
    4Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)Torpedo Gorky (12)4 : 0
    5HC Yugra (2)Bars (15)4 : 1
    6Omskie Krylia (7)Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10)4 : 2
    7Almetyevsk (3)Dizel (14)4 : 2
    8Ryazan (6)Rubin Tyumen (11)4 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1)TBD #2
    2Khimik (4)Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5)
    3HC Yugra (2)Omskie Krylia (7)
    4Almetyevsk (3)Ryazan (6)