Result
2:1 OT
21/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:53, 0 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Naumov V. (A), Ovchinnikov D. (A2)
- 06:01, 1 - 1, Sinyavsky P. (G), Lapin D. (A), Shlykov V. (A2)
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:35, 2 - 1, Zenchikov I. (G), Lapin D. (A), Kozhevnikov A. (A2)
Chances of winning
Molot Perm
24.3% | Draw
22.3% | Metallurg Novokuznetsk
53.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Molot Perm has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Novokuznetsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Molot Perm than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Molot Perm, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.79 ↑
(3.12) |
4.13 ↑
(3.98) |
1.72 ↓
(1.91) |
8.8%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Molot will win (votes: 1 - 10%). Metallurg N will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metallurg N: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metallurg Novokuznetsk will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Molot won 3.
- Molot has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Metallurg N is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Metallurg N may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Metallurg N is the team to beat.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Molot won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 41:56. (average 2.3:3.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Molot won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:23. (average 2.5:2.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Molot Perm won against Metallurg Novokuznetsk?
Molot Perm has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metallurg Novokuznetsk won against Molot Perm?
Metallurg Novokuznetsk has won 3 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Molot Perm - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
30.10.2025
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
-
Molot Perm
5:1
10.01.2025
Molot Perm
-
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
3:2
12.11.2024
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
-
Molot Perm
0:2
25.08.2024
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
-
Molot Perm
3:1
11.12.2023
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
-
Molot Perm
2:5
Latest results of Molot Perm
Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
VHL Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ | 55 | 34 | 11 | 3 | 7 | 194:119 | 93 |
| 2 | HC Yugra ✔ | 53 | 34 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 147:81 | 87 |
| 3 | Almetyevsk ✔ | 53 | 31 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 188:103 | 81 |
| 4 | Khimik | 54 | 29 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 161:111 | 75 |
| 5 | Izhevsk | 55 | 28 | 3 | 6 | 18 | 139:122 | 68 |
| 6 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk | 52 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 153:114 | 67 |
| 7 | Gornyak | 54 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 17 | 157:132 | 67 |
| 8 | CSK VVS | 53 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 17 | 149:125 | 66 |
| 9 | Ryazan | 53 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 18 | 144:128 | 66 |
| 10 | Dizel | 53 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 135:118 | 66 |
| 11 | Omskie Krylia | 54 | 25 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 142:121 | 65 |
| 12 | Chelmet Chelyabinsk | 53 | 24 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 153:143 | 65 |
| 13 | Perm | 53 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 126:138 | 65 |
| 14 | Bars | 54 | 22 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 116:119 | 64 |
| 15 | Rubin Tyumen | 54 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 20 | 130:123 | 63 |
| 16 | Torpedo Gorky | 52 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 18 | 142:119 | 62 |
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 54 | 21 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 125:131 | 62 |
| 18 | Krasnoyarsk | 55 | 18 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 130:136 | 62 |
| 19 | Dinamo St. Petersburg | 54 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 22 | 145:137 | 58 |
| 20 | Kurgan | 54 | 18 | 7 | 7 | 22 | 127:129 | 57 |
| 21 | AKM | 54 | 12 | 13 | 6 | 23 | 122:149 | 56 |
| 22 | Zvezda Moscow | 53 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 23 | 115:124 | 55 |
| 23 | SKA-VMF St. Petersburg | 55 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 109:143 | 52 |
| 24 | Tambov | 53 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 129:146 | 50 |
| 25 | Olympia | 52 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 23 | 95:135 | 49 |
| 26 | Dyn. Altay | 56 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 120:172 | 47 |
| 27 | Buran Voronezh | 55 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 115:163 | 46 |
| 28 | Orsk | 51 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 82:133 | 45 |
| 29 | Kristall Saratov | 52 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 28 | 110:149 | 42 |
| 30 | HK Norilsk | 53 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 30 | 107:148 | 41 |
| 31 | Chelny | 52 | 12 | 7 | 2 | 31 | 120:163 | 40 |
| 32 | HC Rostov | 54 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 31 | 108:161 | 37 |
Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
