Toros Neftekamsk vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 penalties
19/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:44, 1 - 0, Khvorov N. (G), Sychyov V. (A),
  • 13:02, 1 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Kodola V. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 00:29, 1 - 2, Ovchinnikov D. (G),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 2)
  • 01:00, 1 - 3, Kodola V. (G), Shalagin M. (A),
  • 05:03, 2 - 3, Budnitsky V. (G),
  • 08:46, 2 - 4, Churkin V. (G), Kodola V. (A),
  • 12:26, 3 - 4, Budnitsky V. (G), Gunkin Y. (A),
  • 14:58, 4 - 4, Suvorov A. (G), Gazimov I. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Sokolov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Ovchinnikov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Chyorny A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Gorshkov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Nabiev A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Apalkov D. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Toros Neftekamsk
24.5%
Draw
22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 23.1% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 23.9% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Novokuznetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.08)
    4.13
    (3.95)
    1.73
    (1.93)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 1.
    • Toros is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Metallurg N is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Toros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Toros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 39:52. (average 2.3:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 2.6:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk 3:0
    14.01.2025 Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1:5
    08.11.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk 4:1
    05.12.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk 4:1
    09.11.2023 Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4:3
    Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 55341137194:11993
    2HC Yugra ✔ 5334757147:8187
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5331598188:10381
    4Khimik54295713161:11175
    5Izhevsk55283618139:12268
    6Magnitka Magnitogorsk52237715153:11467
    7Gornyak54228717157:13267
    8CSK VVS53228617149:12566
    9Ryazan53247418144:12866
    10Dizel53245816135:11866
    11Omskie Krylia54256320142:12165
    12Chelmet Chelyabinsk53245717153:14365
    13Perm531812518126:13865
    14Bars542241216116:11964
    15Rubin Tyumen541712520130:12363
    16Torpedo Gorky52217618142:11962
    17Toros Neftekamsk54216819125:13162
    18Krasnoyarsk55189820130:13662
    19Dinamo St. Petersburg54215622145:13758
    20Kurgan54187722127:12957
    21AKM541213623122:14956
    22Zvezda Moscow53214523115:12455
    23SKA-VMF St. Petersburg55194626109:14352
    24Tambov53166625129:14650
    25Olympia5212892395:13549
    26Dyn. Altay56127928120:17247
    27Buran Voronezh55146629115:16346
    28Orsk5116292482:13345
    29Kristall Saratov52153628110:14942
    30HK Norilsk53135530107:14841
    31Chelny52127231120:16340
    32HC Rostov54113931108:16137

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)