Toros Neftekamsk vs Metallurg Novokuznetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 penalties
19/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • VHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 1)
  • 08:44, 1 - 0, Khvorov N. (G), Sychyov V. (A),
  • 13:02, 1 - 1, Shalagin M. (G), Gorshkov A. (A), Kodola V. (A2)
  • 2nd Period (0 - 1)
  • 00:29, 1 - 2, Ovchinnikov D. (G),
  • 3rd Period (3 - 2)
  • 01:00, 1 - 3, Kodola V. (G), Shalagin M. (A),
  • 05:03, 2 - 3, Budnitsky V. (G),
  • 08:46, 2 - 4, Churkin V. (G), Kodola V. (A),
  • 12:26, 3 - 4, Budnitsky V. (G), Gunkin Y. (A),
  • 14:58, 4 - 4, Suvorov A. (G), Gazimov I. (A),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (2 - 4)
  • 1, Shalagin M. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Sychyov V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Sokolov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Khvorov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Ovchinnikov D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Chyorny A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Gorshkov A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 4, Nabiev A. (Penalty Shot),
  • 5, Apalkov D. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Toros Neftekamsk
24.5%
Draw
22.3%
Metallurg Novokuznetsk
53.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.6% 23.1% 47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.6% 23.9% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toros Neftekamsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toros Neftekamsk's form might have worsened.
  • Metallurg Novokuznetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metallurg Novokuznetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toros Neftekamsk than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toros Neftekamsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metallurg Novokuznetsk than the current prediction. (-7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metallurg Novokuznetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.75
    (3.08)
    4.13
    (3.95)
    1.73
    (1.93)
    8.9%
    (9.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toros won 1.
    • Toros is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Metallurg N is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Toros may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Metallurg N has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Metallurg N is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Toros won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 39:52. (average 2.3:3.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toros won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:21. (average 2.6:2.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk were as follows:
    01.11.2025 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk 3:0
    14.01.2025 Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 1:5
    08.11.2024 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk 4:1
    05.12.2023 Metallurg Novokuznetsk - Toros Neftekamsk 4:1
    09.11.2023 Toros Neftekamsk - Metallurg Novokuznetsk 4:3
    Latest results of Toros Neftekamsk
    Latest results of Metallurg Novokuznetsk
    VHL Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Metallurg Novokuznetsk ✔ 61391147222:130104
    2HC Yugra ✔ 6038868174:9098
    3Almetyevsk ✔ 5934799215:12391
    4Khimik ✔ 60335715176:12083
    5Ryazan ✔ 60288519157:13677
    6Magnitka Magnitogorsk ✔ 592581016171:13276
    7Chelmet Chelyabinsk ✔ 59295718172:15675
    8Gornyak ✔ 59259718176:14275
    9Izhevsk ✔ 59313619152:13274
    10Torpedo Gorky ✔ 612410621170:13874
    11Omskie Krylia ✔ 59287420156:12574
    12Dizel60275820149:13672
    13Krasnoyarsk622111822146:15172
    14Perm592112620138:14872
    15CSK VVS59248720160:13971
    16Rubin Tyumen591913720145:13371
    17Bars602351319125:13669
    18Toros Neftekamsk59226823134:14564
    19Zvezda Moscow59235625134:13962
    20Dinamo St. Petersburg60235626156:16262
    21Kurgan59207725134:14361
    22SKA-VMF St. Petersburg61224827123:15160
    23AKM611313827136:16960
    24Tambov60178629144:16756
    25Olympia59149927103:15055
    26Orsk5918392997:15951
    27Buran Voronezh62166733130:18151
    28Kristall Saratov59184631133:16850
    29Dyn. Altay611271131128:19049
    30HK Norilsk60165534117:16347
    31Chelny59128435131:18644
    32HC Rostov61134935117:18143

          Promotion ~ VHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Metallurg Novokuznetsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    HC Yugra is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Almetyevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Khimik is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ryazan is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Magnitka Magnitogorsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Chelmet Chelyabinsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Gornyak is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Izhevsk is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Torpedo Gorky is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Omskie Krylia is Qualified for VHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)