Result
Postponed
24/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Chernihiv 67.7% | Draw 21.3% | Metalurh Zaporizhya 11% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernihiv's performance.Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalurh Zaporizhya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+6.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalurh Zaporizhya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.35 ↓ (1.6) |
4.29 ↑ (3.8) |
8.34 ↑ (4.95) |
9.4% (9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernihiv won 2.
- Chernihiv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Metalurh Z has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Chernihiv is considered a favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernihiv won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Chernihiv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chernihiv won against Metalurh Zaporizhya?
Chernihiv has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metalurh Zaporizhya won against Chernihiv?
Metalurh Zaporizhya has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya were as follows:
12.06.2025
Metalurh Zaporizhya
-
Chernihiv
0:2
08.06.2025
Chernihiv
-
Metalurh Zaporizhya
3:0
29.10.2023
Chernihiv
-
Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:3
27.08.2023
Metalurh Zaporizhya
-
Chernihiv
4:2
05.11.2022
Chernihiv
-
Metalurh Zaporizhya
0:0
Latest results of Chernihiv
Latest results of Metalurh Zaporizhya
Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bukovyna | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 30:10 | 20 | 35 |
| 2 | Ch. Odesa | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20:4 | 16 | 31 |
| 3 | Inhulets | 13 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 28 |
| 4 | Ahrobiznes Volochysk | 13 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 14:9 | 5 | 24 |
| 5 | Livyi Bereg | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 15:10 | 5 | 23 |
| 6 | Nyva Ternopil | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Prykarpattya | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18:16 | 2 | 18 |
| 8 | Viktoria | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 14:16 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 | Vorskla Poltava | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 9:13 | -4 | 13 |
| 10 | Probiy Horodenka | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 12:16 | -4 | 13 |
| 11 | Metalist Kharkiv | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:14 | -2 | 12 |
| 12 | UCSA | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 8:15 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | FC Chernihiv | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 14 | Fenix Mariupol | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 6:16 | -10 | 9 |
| 15 | Podillya Khmelnytskyi | 13 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 6:22 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | SK Metalurh | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 4:22 | -18 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Druha Liga