Chernihiv vs Metalurh Zaporizhya – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
15/12/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Persha Liga - Round 13

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', 0 - 1, Lisnyak R. ,
  • 29', Shalfeev Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 68', Misanov M. , Zaichenko Y. ,
  • 70', Shalfeev Y. , Koydan V. ,
  • 70', Bybik A. , Zenchenko O. ,
  • 87', 1 - 1, Fateev D. ,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Chernihiv
68.7%
Draw
20.3%
Metalurh Zaporizhya
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 24.1% 18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.3% 23.3% 17.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chernihiv's performance.
  • Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalurh Zaporizhya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Chernihiv that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalurh Zaporizhya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.32
    (1.6)
    4.47
    (3.8)
    8.27
    (4.95)
    10.2%
    (9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya?
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Chernihiv (votes: 2 - 50%). Metalurh Z (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/E Goals - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Chernihiv will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 13 in the zone Persha Liga (Relegation) and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Druha Liga).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chernihiv won 2.
    • Chernihiv has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Metalurh Z has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Chernihiv is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Chernihiv won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Chernihiv won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya were as follows:
    12.06.2025 Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv 0:2
    08.06.2025 Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya 3:0
    29.10.2023 Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya 1:3
    27.08.2023 Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv 4:2
    05.11.2022 Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya 0:0
    Latest results of Chernihiv
    Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
    2025/26
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    13Vorskla Poltava23661118:24-624
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          Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )
          Persha Liga (Relegation)
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