Metalurh Zaporizhya vs Chernihiv – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Persha Liga Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv
Result
0:2
12/06/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Persha Liga - Relegation - Final

Match Stats

Yellow Cards
51

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Yurechko I. 🟨,
  • 29', Alibekov A. 🟨,
  • 29', Bybik A. 🟨,
  • 45+2', Bilyaev K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Bilyaev K. , Vasylchenko V. ,
  • 55', Blyznyuk V. , Falkovskyi D. ,
  • 61', Bybik A. , Zenchenko O. ,
  • 61', Bezgubchenko D. , Kulyk D. ,
  • 63', 0 - 1, Koydan V. ,
  • 66', Strads M. , Tovkach A. ,
  • 67', Nekhtiy V. 🟨,
  • 69', Serdyuk M. , Sakhno D. ,
  • 79', Koydan V. , Myronenko D. ,
  • 79', Porokhnya A. , Shushko P. ,
  • 82', Alibekov A. , Doroshenko D. ,
  • 82', Kozlov A. , Levchenko N. ,
  • 84', 0 - 2, Shumylo M. ,
  • 90+1', Klymenko V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Metalurh Zaporizhya
39.1%
Draw
27.1%
Chernihiv
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.1% 24.9% 20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1% 27.7% 18.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metalurh Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metalurh Zaporizhya's form might have worsened.
  • Chernihiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Chernihiv's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalurh Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+21%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metalurh Zaporizhya, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chernihiv than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Chernihiv, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.32
    (1.7)
    3.34
    (3.69)
    2.68
    (4.4)
    10.5%
    (8.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 0-3. 2nd leg.
    • Recent performances by Metalurh Z have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Chernihiv is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Chernihiv may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Metalurh Z has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metalurh Z won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:8. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metalurh Z won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 2:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv were as follows:
    08.06.2025 Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya 3:0
    29.10.2023 Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya 1:3
    27.08.2023 Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv 4:2
    05.11.2022 Chernihiv - Metalurh Zaporizhya 0:0
    17.09.2022 Metalurh Zaporizhya - Chernihiv 0:2
    Latest results of Chernihiv
    04.06.2025 Skala 1911 - Chernihiv 0:1
    30.05.2025 Chernihiv - Skala 1911 3:2
    11.05.2025 Oleksandriya 2 - Chernihiv 1:2
    04.05.2025 Chernihiv - Vorskla 2 4:0
    Ukrainian Persha Liga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Prykarpattya11002:023
    2Ahrobiznes Volochysk11002:023
    3Vorskla Poltava11002:113
    4UCSA11001:013
    5Bukovyna10100:001
    6Inhulets10100:001
    7Ch. Odesa00000:000
    8Nyva Ternopil00000:000
    9Metalist Kharkiv00000:000
    10MFC Metalurh00000:000
    11FC Chernihiv00000:000
    12Probiy Horodenka00000:000
    13Fenix Mariupol10011:2-10
    14Podillya Khmelnytskyi10010:1-10
    15Viktoria10010:2-20
    16Livyi Bereg10010:2-20

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