Brest vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
23/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 13
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilCaze TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sports 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 4
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.911.05
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
207
Shots on target
73
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
62
Passes
85% (439/517)81% (333/409)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
2.911.05
xG on target (xGOT)
2.410.52
Total shots
207
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
154
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
62
Touches in opposition box
319
Accurate through passes
31
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
811
Passes
85% (439/517)81% (333/409)
Long passes
49% (24/49)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
69% (97/140)63% (33/52)
Crosses
35% (8/23)15% (2/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.270.79
Throw-ins
1620
Fouls
118
Tackles
81% (13/16)75% (6/8)
Duels won
4935
Clearances
1024
Interceptions
94
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.522.41
Goals prevented
-0.48-0.59

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 2', 1 - 0, Mboup P. , Chardonnet B. (A),
  • 6', 1 - 1, Tsitaishvili G. , Yegbe T. (A),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Doumbia K. , Ajorque L. (A),
  • 56', Doumbia K. 🟨,
  • 67', Doumbia K. , Labeau Lascary R. ,
  • 68', Kouao K. , Ballo-Toure F. ,
  • 68', Deminguet J. , Traore B. ,
  • 68', Tsitaishvili G. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 78', Magnetti H. , Tousart L. ,
  • 78', Mboup P. , Balde M. ,
  • 78', Asoro J. , Sane I. ,
  • 79', 2 - 2, Coulibaly S. (Own goal),
  • 83', Ballo-Toure F. 🟨,
  • 84', Sabaly C. 🟨,
  • 87', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Del Castillo R. (Pen),
  • 90+8', Toure A. 🟨,
  • 90+10', 3 - 2, Del Castillo R. (Pen),

Chances of winning


Brest
52.1%
Draw
25.2%
Metz
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.3% 25.3% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 28.8% 18.8%

Brest - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.83
(1.78)
3.81
(3.74)
4.25
(4.43)
4.3%
(5.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brest - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Metz will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 54.7%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Metz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • DC - Metz (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Metz (4.19) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Metz (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Metz (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.
    • Brest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Metz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Brest is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Brest: Locko B. (Thigh Injury) Majecki R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Diallo H. (Hamstring Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sy P. (Concussion)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Madjo B. (Inactive)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brest won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Metz were as follows:
    07.04.2024 Brest - Metz 4:3
    10.12.2023 Metz - Brest 0:1
    Latest results of Brest
    02.11.2025 Brest - Lyon 0:0
    29.10.2025 Le Havre - Brest 1:0
    19.10.2025 Lorient - Brest 3:3
    Latest results of Metz
    09.11.2025 Metz - Nice 2:1
    02.11.2025 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    29.10.2025 Metz - Lens 2:0
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens18141332:131943
    2PSG18133240:152542
    3Marseille18112541:192235
    4Lyon18103527:18933
    5Lille18102633:25832
    6Rennes1887330:25531
    7Strasbourg1883728:22627
    8Toulouse1875629:23626
    9Monaco1872928:33-523
    10Brest1864824:29-522
    11Angers1864820:25-522
    12Lorient1857623:30-722
    13Paris FC1854924:32-819
    14Le Havre1847716:24-819
    15Nice18531021:35-1418
    16Nantes18351017:30-1314
    17Auxerre18331214:28-1412
    18Metz18331219:40-2112

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