Result
3:2
23/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 13
- Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV, FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360, VTVcab |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 1.05 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (439/517) | 81% (333/409) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.41 | 0.52 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (439/517) | 81% (333/409) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (24/49) | 42% (23/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (97/140) | 63% (33/52) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 15% (2/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.27 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 75% (6/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 35 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.52 | 2.41 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.48 | -0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mboup P. ⚽, Chardonnet B. (A),
- 6', 1 - 1, Tsitaishvili G. ⚽, Yegbe T. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 2 - 1, Doumbia K. ⚽, Ajorque L. (A),
- 56', Doumbia K. 🟨,
- 67', Doumbia K. ↓, Labeau Lascary R. ↑,
- 68', Kouao K. ↓, Ballo-Toure F. ↑,
- 68', Deminguet J. ↓, Traore B. ↑,
- 68', Tsitaishvili G. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
- 78', Magnetti H. ↓, Tousart L. ↑,
- 78', Mboup P. ↓, Balde M. ↑,
- 78', Asoro J. ↓, Sane I. ↑,
- 79', 2 - 2, Coulibaly S. (Own goal),
- 83', Ballo-Toure F. 🟨,
- 84', Sabaly C. 🟨,
- 87', Coulibaly S. 🟨,
- 90+5', Del Castillo R. (Pen),
- 90+8', Toure A. 🟨,
- 90+10', 3 - 2, Del Castillo R. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Brest
52.1% | Draw
25.2% | Metz
22.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Brest - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↑
(1.78) |
3.81 ↑
(3.74) |
4.25 ↓
(4.43) |
4.3%
(5.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Brest - Metz?
Users Predictions:
28 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 20 - 71.4%). Metz will win (votes: 3 - 10.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 17.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 54.7% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Brest (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Metz (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 15 and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Brest won 3.
- Brest has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Metz's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Brest may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Brest is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Brest: Locko B.
(Thigh Injury)
Majecki R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Metz: Diallo H.
(Hamstring Injury)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Mbaye M.
(Foot Injury)
Mboula U.
(Hamstring Injury)
Sy P.
(Concussion)
- There are questionable in Metz: Madjo B.
(Inactive)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Brest won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:19. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Brest won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Brest won against Metz?
Brest has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Brest?
Metz has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Metz were as follows:
07.04.2024
Brest
-
Metz
4:3
10.12.2023
Metz
-
Brest
0:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lens | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 26:13 | 13 | 34 |
| 2 | PSG | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 32:12 | 20 | 33 |
| 3 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 29 |
| 4 | Lille | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 29 |
| 5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | Rennes | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 24:23 | 1 | 24 |
| 7 | Monaco | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 26:26 | 0 | 23 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 25:20 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Toulouse | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 21:19 | 2 | 20 |
| 10 | Brest | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 20:24 | -4 | 19 |
| 11 | Angers | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 19 |
| 12 | Nice | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 19:27 | -8 | 17 |
| 13 | Lorient | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19:28 | -9 | 17 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 16 |
| 15 | Le Havre | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13:21 | -8 | 15 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 12 |
| 17 | Nantes | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 13:24 | -11 | 11 |
| 18 | Metz | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 15:34 | -19 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
