Brest vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Brest - Metz
Result
4:3
07/04/2024 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport
cyprusCyprusNova Sports
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 2, Voyo
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceNova Sports
hungaryHungaryMatch 4
italyItalySky Sport
portugalPortugalEleven Sports
romaniaRomaniaOrange Sport, Prima Sport 2
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport
turkeyTurkeybeIN Sports 1 MAX
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports
worldWorldSetanta Sports Eurasia

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
3.371.68
Ball Possession
66%34%
Goal Attempts
248
Shots on Goal
106
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
71
Free Kicks
1610
Corner Kicks
85
Offsides
00
Throw-ins
1926
Goalkeeper Saves
36
Fouls
1117
Yellow Cards
01
Total Passes
633315
Completed Passes
544236
Tackles
218
Attacks
12395
Dangerous Attacks
5928
Clearances Completed
1228
Crosses Completed
94
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 6', 0 - 1, Traore I. , Camara L. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Chardonnet B. ,
  • 31', 2 - 1, Doumbia K. , Del Castillo R. (A),
  • 38', 3 - 1, Mounie S. , Satriano M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Lamkel Ze D. , Diallo P. ,
  • 60', 4 - 1, Satriano M. , Del Castillo R. (A),
  • 62', Udol M. 🟨,
  • 64', Jallow A. , Van Den Kerkhof K. ,
  • 69', Doumbia K. , Camara M. ,
  • 69', Martin J. , Magnetti H. ,
  • 69', Satriano M. , Le Douaron J. ,
  • 74', 4 - 2, Mikautadze G. , Atta A. (A),
  • 75', Mounie S. , Pereira Lage M. ,
  • 75', Atta A. , Sabaly C. ,
  • 79', Jean Jacques D. , N'Doram K. ,
  • 80', 4 - 3, Mikautadze G. ,
  • 88', Del Castillo R. , Le Cardinal J. ,

Chances of winning


Brest
64%
Draw
22.9%
Metz
13.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.8% 24% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 23.5% 13.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Brest has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brest than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
  • Brest - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.5
    (1.54)
    4.17
    (3.95)
    7.35
    (6.69)
    4.4%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Brest - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Brest will win (votes: 31 - 88.6%). Metz will win (votes: 3 - 8.6%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 2.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Brest: 78.1%99.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Brest won 3.
    • Brest is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Metz is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Metz could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Brest is indisputable favorite.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Brest won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 16-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Brest won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7-11.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Brest - Metz were as follows:
    10.12.2023 Metz - Brest 0:1
    Latest results of Brest
    31.03.2024 Lorient - Brest 0:1
    17.03.2024 Brest - Lille 1:1
    09.03.2024 Lens - Brest 1:0
    03.03.2024 Brest - Le Havre 1:0
    24.02.2024 Strasbourg - Brest 0:3
    Latest results of Metz
    30.03.2024 Metz - Monaco 2:5
    17.03.2024 Reims - Metz 2:1
    10.03.2024 Metz - Clermont 1:0
    03.03.2024 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    23.02.2024 Metz - Lyon 1:2
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2