Martigues vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.762.70
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
82% (340/416)85% (427/503)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.762.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.03
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1729
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
87
Passes
82% (340/416)85% (427/503)
Long passes
54% (30/56)52% (34/65)
Passes in final third
61% (66/108)79% (92/117)
Crosses
24% (5/21)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.89
Fouls
78
Tackles
75% (9/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3431
Clearances Total
3419
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.030.27
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Diallo P. A. , Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Tlili K. , Ipiele A. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 2, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 21', Saintini N. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 3, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 39', Sane S. , Traore I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Kembolo F. 🟨,
  • 56', Kembolo F. , Mendy O. ,
  • 72', Saintini N. , Moussiti-Oko B. ,
  • 72', Montiel R. , Morante L. ,
  • 73', Djaha A. , Shamal S. ,
  • 75', Bokele Mputu M. , Jallow A. ,
  • 75', Diallo P. A. , Sane I. ,
  • 79', Morante L. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Jallow A. , Sabaly C. (A),
  • 83', Udol M. 🟨,
  • 85', Orinel O. , Siby M. ,
  • 90', Sabaly C. , Gueye I. ,
  • 90+1', Van Den Kerkhof K. , Colin M. ,

Chances of winning


Martigues
13.8%
Draw
20.9%
Metz
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.2% 19.7% 68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 19.1% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Martigues - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.9
    (7.67)
    4.49
    (4.76)
    1.44
    (1.38)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Martigues - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Metz will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 38.5%81.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Metz will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent matches Martigues is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Metz is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Metz is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Amraoui A. (Inactive) Bamba M. (Inactive) Belloumou S. (Red Card) Hadjem Y. (Yellow Cards) Marillat Y. (Injury) Siby M. (Inactive) Zouaoui I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Kouao K. (Red Card) Mboula U. (Inactive) Sy P. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Metz were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Metz - Martigues 6:0
    Latest results of Martigues
    04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Laval - Martigues 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    15.03.2025 Dunkerque - Metz 2:3
    08.03.2025 Metz - Annecy 5:1
    01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes28176549:282157
    2St Etienne28165750:292153
    3Le Mans281311441:291250
    4Red Star28138732:27547
    5Reims281210641:261546
    6Rodez281111635:33244
    7Montpellier281261033:25842
    8Dunkerque28109943:34939
    9Annecy281161135:34139
    10Guingamp28109938:40-239
    11Pau FC28109940:44-439
    12Boulogne28971230:38-834
    13Grenoble286121026:33-730
    14Clermont28771430:37-728
    15Nancy28771424:40-1628
    16Amiens28651733:50-1723
    17Laval284111324:41-1723
    18Bastia283111415:31-1620

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National