Martigues vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:4
11/04/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 2 - Round 30
  • Referee: Leleu M. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 4, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.762.70
Ball Possession
45%55%
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
15
Passes
82% (340/416)85% (427/503)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.762.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.273.03
Total shots
1314
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
74
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
1013
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
12
Big Chances
25
Corner Kicks
15
Touches in opposition box
1729
Through passes
0% (0/1)100% (1/1)
Offsides
15
Free Kicks
87
Passes
82% (340/416)85% (427/503)
Long passes
54% (30/56)52% (34/65)
Passes in final third
61% (66/108)79% (92/117)
Crosses
24% (5/21)22% (4/18)
Expected assists (xA)
0.560.89
Fouls
78
Tackles
75% (9/12)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3431
Clearances Total
3419
Interceptions
1311
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
3.030.27
Goals prevented
-0.97-0.73

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 3)
  • 2', 0 - 1, Diallo P. A. , Van Den Kerkhof K. (A),
  • 13', 1 - 1, Tlili K. , Ipiele A. (A),
  • 16', 1 - 2, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 21', Saintini N. 🟨,
  • 35', 1 - 3, Hein G. (Pen),
  • 39', Sane S. , Traore I. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 51', Kembolo F. 🟨,
  • 56', Kembolo F. , Mendy O. ,
  • 72', Saintini N. , Moussiti-Oko B. ,
  • 72', Montiel R. , Morante L. ,
  • 73', Djaha A. , Shamal S. ,
  • 75', Bokele Mputu M. , Jallow A. ,
  • 75', Diallo P. A. , Sane I. ,
  • 79', Morante L. 🟨,
  • 81', 1 - 4, Jallow A. , Sabaly C. (A),
  • 83', Udol M. 🟨,
  • 85', Orinel O. , Siby M. ,
  • 90', Sabaly C. , Gueye I. ,
  • 90+1', Van Den Kerkhof K. , Colin M. ,

Chances of winning


Martigues
13.8%
Draw
20.9%
Metz
65.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
12.2% 19.7% 68.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.8% 19.1% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Martigues has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+5%)
  • Martigues - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.9
    (7.67)
    4.49
    (4.76)
    1.44
    (1.38)
    6.4%
    (6.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Martigues - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Martigues will win (votes: 7 - 35%). Metz will win (votes: 12 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 38.5%81.5%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metz will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Recent matches Martigues is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Metz is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • In this match Metz is absolute favorite.
    • There will not play in Martigues: Amraoui A. (Inactive) Bamba M. (Inactive) Belloumou S. (Red Card) Hadjem Y. (Yellow Cards) Marillat Y. (Injury) Siby M. (Inactive) Zouaoui I. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Kouao K. (Red Card) Mboula U. (Inactive) Sy P. (Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Martigues won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:6
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Martigues - Metz were as follows:
    24.09.2024 Metz - Martigues 6:0
    Latest results of Martigues
    04.04.2025 Rodez - Martigues 1:0
    28.03.2025 Martigues - Ajaccio 2:0
    14.03.2025 Martigues - Pau 2:2
    07.03.2025 Bastia - Martigues 1:0
    28.02.2025 Laval - Martigues 0:1
    Latest results of Metz
    05.04.2025 Caen - Metz 2:2
    28.03.2025 Metz - Troyes 2:1
    15.03.2025 Dunkerque - Metz 2:3
    08.03.2025 Metz - Annecy 5:1
    01.03.2025 Amiens - Metz 1:2
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes ✔ 33207660:322867
    2Le Mans331514448:311759
    3St Etienne331761054:381657
    4Red Star33169844:36857
    5Rodez331413643:38555
    6Reims331314648:321653
    7Annecy331571148:371152
    8Montpellier331481140:301050
    9Pau FC331291245:57-1245
    10Dunkerque3311101251:42943
    11Guingamp3310101342:48-640
    12Grenoble337151132:39-736
    13Boulogne33991533:47-1436
    14Clermont338101537:44-734
    15Nancy338101532:50-1834
    16Laval335141428:47-1929
    17Bastia335131523:37-1428
    18Amiens ✔ 33662137:60-2324

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
    Amiens is Relegated to National