Metz vs Nantes – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Result
0:0
05/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 28
  • Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
boliviaBoliviaESPN 2
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4
brazilBrazilCaze TV
canadaCanadabeIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
ecuadorEcuadorESPN 2
finlandFinlandViaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay
franceFranceDAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoFOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayTV2 Play, Viaplay
paraguayParaguayESPN 2
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN 2
romaniaRomaniaVoyo
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaNova Sport 5, Voyo
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 5
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN 2, Inter
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.320.45
Ball possession
66%34%
Total shots
196
Shots on target
52
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
63
Passes
88% (498/567)78% (227/292)
Yellow cards
21
Red cards
01
Expected goals (xG)
2.320.45
xG on target (xGOT)
1.740.16
Total shots
196
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
93
Blocked shots
51
Shots inside the box
145
Shots outside the box
51
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
40
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
3020
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
61
Free kicks
1014
Passes
88% (498/567)78% (227/292)
Long passes
47% (15/32)30% (13/44)
Passes in final third
78% (134/172)52% (31/60)
Crosses
36% (10/28)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.560.55
Throw ins
1418
Fouls
1410
Tackles
68% (15/22)65% (11/17)
Duels won
5541
Clearances
1927
Interceptions
713
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.161.74
Goals prevented
0.160.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Sarr B. 🟨,
  • 39', Tati T. 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Ganago I. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
  • 46', Centonze F. ↓, Ali Youssef ↑,
  • 63', Coquelin F. 🟨,
  • 63', Colin M. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
  • 63', Mboula U. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
  • 72', Munongo B. 🟨,
  • 73', Abline M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
  • 80', Sarr B. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
  • 84', Coquelin F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
  • 87', Deminguet J. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
  • 90+2', Kaba M. ↓, Amian K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Metz
31.3%		Draw
29%		Nantes
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.5% 28.6% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 28.9% 39.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
    •

    Metz - Nantes Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.04 ↑
    (2.91)    		 3.27 ↓
    (3.31)    		 2.43
    (2.43)    		 4.7%
    (5.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Metz - Nantes?
  • Users Predictions: 27 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Nantes will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 18.8% – 55.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Metz (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -0.25 - Metz (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.5 - Metz (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Metz (3.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Metz (5.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Metz (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metz will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 9 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3.
    • Metz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Nantes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Metz: Guerti I. (Injury) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Melieres C. (Injury) Stambouli B. (Ribs Injury) Toure A. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Nantes: Tabibou D. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Kvilitaia G. (Illness) Mbala N. (Illness) Sy P. (Elbow Injury) Traore B. (Calf Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nantes: Deuff B. (Foot Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Nantes were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    03.03.2024 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    12.11.2023 Metz - Nantes 3:1
    Latest results of Metz
    22.03.2026 Rennes - Metz 0:0 ✺
    15.03.2026 Metz - Toulouse 3:4 ✺
    08.03.2026 Lens - Metz 3:0 ✺
    01.03.2026 Metz - Brest 0:1 ✺
    21.02.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Metz 3:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nantes
    22.03.2026 Nantes - Strasbourg 2:3 ✺
    15.03.2026 Paris Saint-Germain - Nantes Postponed
    07.03.2026 Nantes - Angers 0:1 ✺
    01.03.2026 Lille - Nantes 1:0 ✺
    22.02.2026 Nantes - Le Havre 2:0 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG27203461:233863
    2Lens28192754:272759
    3Lille29165849:341553
    4Marseille29164958:382052
    5Lyon29156843:291451
    6Rennes29148749:41850
    7Monaco291541050:43749
    8Strasbourg28127946:341243
    9Lorient29911938:44-638
    10Toulouse291071239:39037
    11Brest281061237:43-636
    12Paris FC298111037:45-835
    13Angers29961425:39-1433
    14Le Havre296111224:37-1329
    15Nice29771534:56-2228
    16Auxerre29591523:37-1424
    17Nantes28471724:45-2119
    18Metz29362026:63-3715

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