Nantes vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
02/11/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Round 11
  • Referee: Angoula G. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
austriaAustriaDAZN
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceAmazon Prime Video, DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN SPORTS MAX
italyItalyLigue 1+
japanJapanDAZN Japan
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Caliente TV, FOX One
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayViaplay
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV7
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Ukraine
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.54
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Passes
84% (304/364)82% (275/336)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.811.54
xG on target (xGOT)
0.691.82
Total shots
1614
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
67
Blocked Shots
60
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
75
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
85
Touches in opposition box
3717
Accurate through passes
11
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
88
Passes
84% (304/364)82% (275/336)
Long passes
45% (18/40)45% (22/49)
Passes in final third
59% (58/98)58% (32/55)
Crosses
19% (4/21)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.790.55
Throw-ins
2312
Fouls
88
Tackles
45% (5/11)48% (12/25)
Duels won
3855
Clearances
2332
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
21
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
1.820.69
Goals prevented
-0.180.69

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 26', Sane I. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 65', Tabibou D. 🟨,
  • 67', Guirassy B. , Benhattab Y. ,
  • 78', Deminguet J. , Traore B. ,
  • 78', Sane I. , Abuashvili G. ,
  • 79', Tsitaishvili G. , Bokele Mputu M. ,
  • 79', Tabibou D. , Deuff B. ,
  • 79', El Arabi Y. , Mostafa Mohamed ,
  • 82', 0 - 1, Abuashvili G. ,
  • 89', Cozza N. , Radakovic U. ,
  • 89', Lopes A. , Carlgren P. ,
  • 89', 0 - 2, Diallo H. , Sabaly C. (A),
  • 90+2', Diallo H. , Asoro J. ,
  • 90+2', Toure A. , Stambouli B. ,
  • 90+5', Kouao K. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Nantes
46.9%
Draw
26.7%
Metz
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26.5% 26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 26.3% 26.4%

Nantes - Metz Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.05
(2.03)
3.58
(3.6)
3.67
(3.59)
3.9%
(4.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Nantes - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: Nantes will win (25 of 31 users predict this - 80.65%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 66.74%94.56%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nantes will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 15 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 1.
    • Nantes has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Metz is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Metz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nantes could have a small edge in this match.
    • There will not play in Nantes: Coquelin F. (Hamstring Injury) Hong Hyun-Seok (Muscle Injury) Lahdo M. (Inactive) Lepenant J. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Ballo-Toure F. (Muscle Injury) Hein G. (Red Card) Mangondo J. (Knee Injury) Mbaye M. (Foot Injury) Mboula U. (Hamstring Injury) Sane S. (Red Card) Sy P. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Metz: Traore B. (Illness)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 12:17. (average 0.8:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nantes won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:8. (average 0.9:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nantes - Metz were as follows:
    03.03.2024 Nantes - Metz 0:2
    12.11.2023 Metz - Nantes 3:1
    Latest results of Nantes
    29.10.2025 Nantes - Monaco 3:5
    24.10.2025 Paris FC - Nantes 1:2
    19.10.2025 Nantes - Lille 0:2
    04.10.2025 Brest - Nantes 0:0
    27.09.2025 Toulouse - Nantes 2:2
    Latest results of Metz
    29.10.2025 Metz - Lens 2:0
    26.10.2025 Lille - Metz 6:1
    19.10.2025 Toulouse - Metz 4:0
    04.10.2025 Metz - Olympique Marseille 0:3
    28.09.2025 Metz - Le Havre 0:0
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lens16121328:131537
    2PSG16113235:142136
    3Marseille16102436:152132
    4Lille16102433:201332
    5Lyon1683522:16627
    6Rennes1676327:24327
    7Strasbourg1672725:20523
    8Toulouse1665524:19523
    9Monaco1672726:27-123
    10Angers1664617:18-122
    11Brest1654721:27-619
    12Lorient1646619:28-918
    13Nice1652919:29-1017
    14Paris FC1644821:29-816
    15Le Havre1636713:22-915
    16Auxerre16331014:25-1112
    17Nantes1625914:28-1411
    18Metz16321117:37-2011

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