Result
0:0
05/04/2026 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 28
- Referee: Brisard J. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Brazil | Caze TV |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports XTRA Espanol |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 5, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Finland | Viaplay 1 Urheilu, Viaplay |
 France | DAZN France, Ligue 1+, Molotov TV |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
 Italy | Ligue 1+ |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | FOX One |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Romania | Voyo |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 5, Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport 1 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 5 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports US XTRA Espanol, Fanatiz, Fubo Latino, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.45 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 66% | 34% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (498/567) | 78% (227/292) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.32 | 0.45 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (498/567) | 78% (227/292) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 30% (13/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (134/172) | 52% (31/60) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 36% (10/28) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 0.55 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 65% (11/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.16 | 1.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.16 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Sarr B. 🟨,
- 39', Tati T. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ganago I. ↓, Machado D. ↑,
- 46', Centonze F. ↓, Ali Youssef ↑,
- 63', Coquelin F. 🟨,
- 63', Colin M. ↓, Mbala N. ↑,
- 63', Mboula U. ↓, Munongo B. ↑,
- 72', Munongo B. 🟨,
- 73', Abline M. ↓, Guirassy B. ↑,
- 80', Sarr B. ↓, Michal L. ↑,
- 84', Coquelin F. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
- 87', Deminguet J. ↓, Abuashvili G. ↑,
- 90+2', Kaba M. ↓, Amian K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Metz
31.3% | Draw
29% | Nantes
39.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)Nantes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nantes than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Metz - Nantes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↑
(2.91) |
3.27 ↓
(3.31) |
2.43
(2.43) |
4.7%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Metz - Nantes?
Users Predictions:
27 users predict this event. Metz will win (votes: 10 - 37%). Nantes will win (votes: 8 - 29.6%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Metz: 18.8% – 55.2%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Metz (2.10) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.25 - Metz (2.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Metz (2.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Metz (3.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1 - Metz (5.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Metz (1.56) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Metz will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Metz (votes: 9 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Metz won 3.
- Metz has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Nantes's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Metz: Guerti I.
(Injury)
Mangondo J.
(Knee Injury)
Melieres C.
(Injury)
Stambouli B.
(Ribs Injury)
Toure A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Nantes: Tabibou D.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Metz: Kvilitaia G.
(Illness)
Mbala N.
(Illness)
Sy P.
(Elbow Injury)
Traore B.
(Calf Injury)
- There are questionable in Nantes: Deuff B.
(Foot Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Metz won 6 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:12. (average 1.1:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Metz won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Nantes?
Metz has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nantes won against Metz?
Nantes has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Metz - Nantes were as follows:
02.11.2025
Nantes
-
Metz
0:2
03.03.2024
Nantes
-
Metz
0:2
12.11.2023
Metz
-
Nantes
3:1
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG ✔ | 31 | 22 | 4 | 5 | 70:27 | 43 | 70 |
| 2 | Lens | 31 | 20 | 4 | 7 | 61:33 | 28 | 64 |
| 3 | Lyon | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 52:34 | 18 | 60 |
| 4 | Lille | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 51:35 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 | Rennes | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 56:46 | 10 | 56 |
| 6 | Monaco | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 56:48 | 8 | 54 |
| 7 | Marseille | 32 | 16 | 5 | 11 | 59:44 | 15 | 53 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 50:41 | 9 | 46 |
| 9 | Lorient | 32 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 44:49 | -5 | 42 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 32 | 11 | 8 | 13 | 45:45 | 0 | 41 |
| 11 | Paris FC | 32 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 44:47 | -3 | 41 |
| 12 | Brest | 31 | 10 | 8 | 13 | 41:51 | -10 | 38 |
| 13 | Angers | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 27:46 | -19 | 34 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 32 | 6 | 14 | 12 | 30:43 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Nice | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 36:58 | -22 | 31 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30:43 | -13 | 28 |
| 17 | Nantes | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 29:51 | -22 | 23 |
| 18 | Metz | 32 | 3 | 7 | 22 | 32:72 | -40 | 16 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
Clinched Spots for Teams
PSG is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )
