Reims vs Metz – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1
Football French Ligue 1 Reims - Metz
Result
1:3 ET
29/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final
  • Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaCANAL+ Sport 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
bulgariaBulgariaDiema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay, V Sport 2
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN 1, DAZN France
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch
israelIsrael5 PLUS Israel
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
norwayNorwayViaplay, V Sport 3
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 2
portugalPortugalSport TV1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 3
swedenSwedenViaplay
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 4
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomLigue 1 Pass
uruguayUruguayDisney+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.71
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
188
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
79% (386/488)86% (570/663)
Yellow Cards
32
Expected Goals (xG)
1.890.71
xG on target (xGOT)
1.041.32
Total shots
188
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
93
Blocked Shots
61
Shots inside the Box
136
Shots outside the Box
52
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
3524
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
1216
Passes
79% (386/488)86% (570/663)
Long passes
28% (16/58)50% (40/80)
Passes in final third
65% (95/146)69% (99/144)
Crosses
33% (7/21)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.880.58
Throw-ins
2222
Fouls
1612
Tackles
68% (15/22)47% (18/38)
Duels won
6083
Clearances
3740
Interceptions
1010
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
12
xGOT faced
1.321.04
Goals prevented
-1.680.04

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 38', Akieme S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 57', 1 - 0, Tia A. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
  • 63', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
  • 63', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
  • 64', Tia A. 🟨,
  • 65', Kone A. ↓, Atangana Edoa V. ↑,
  • 65', Tia A. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
  • 71', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
  • 72', Diakite O. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
  • 77', Buta ↓, Hiroki S. ↑,
  • 77', Gbane M. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Udol M. ⚽,
  • 84', Sabaly C. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
  • 85', Mboula U. 🟨,
  • 87', Nakamura K. 🟨,
  • Extra Time (0 - 2)
  • 103', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
  • 105', Akieme S. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
  • 110', 1 - 2, Toure A. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
  • 114', 1 - 3, Hein G. ⚽, Diallo P. A. (A),
  • 115', Hein G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Reims
38.4%		Draw
29.9%		Metz
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.6% 28.4% 26%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.5% 29% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reims's form might have worsened.
  • Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reims, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Reims - Metz Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.47 ↑
    (2.05)    		 3.17 ↓
    (3.3)    		 3.02 ↓
    (3.6)    		 5.1%
    (6.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Reims - Metz?
  • Users Predictions: 39 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%). Metz will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 46.2% – 76.8%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Reims (votes: 6 - 85.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Reims will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reims won 2.
    • Reims has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Metz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Reims may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Reims has had a series of away games.
    • Reims is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Reims: Daramy M. (Knee Injury) Fofana Y. (Ankle Injury) Khadra R. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Metz: Asoro J. (Injury) Bodart A. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Reims: Teuma T. (Injury)
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Reims won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.8:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reims won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reims - Metz were as follows:
    21.05.2025 Metz - Reims 1:1
    17.03.2024 Reims - Metz 2:1
    03.09.2023 Metz - Reims 2:2
    Latest results of Reims
    24.05.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Reims 3:0 ✺
    21.05.2025 Metz - Reims 1:1 ✺
    17.05.2025 Lille - Reims 2:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Reims - Saint-Étienne 0:2 ✺
    02.05.2025 Nice - Reims 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Metz
    21.05.2025 Metz - Reims 1:1 ✺
    17.05.2025 Metz - Dunkerque 1:0 ✺
    10.05.2025 Laval - Metz 2:3 ✺
    02.05.2025 Metz - Rodez 3:3 ✺
    26.04.2025 Pau - Metz 2:1 ✺
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

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