Result
1:3 ET
29/05/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Relegation - Play Offs - Final
- Referee: Wattellier E. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4 |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay, V Sport 2 |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, DAZN 1, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 2 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 Slovenia | Arena Sport 3 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.71 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (386/488) | 86% (570/663) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.89 | 0.71 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (386/488) | 86% (570/663) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/58) | 50% (40/80) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (95/146) | 69% (99/144) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (7/21) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.58 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (15/22) | 47% (18/38) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 83 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 37 | 40 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.04 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.68 | 0.04 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 38', Akieme S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 57', 1 - 0, Tia A. ⚽, Ito J. (A),
- 63', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Diallo P. A. ↑,
- 63', Deminguet J. ↓, Toure A. ↑,
- 64', Tia A. 🟨,
- 65', Kone A. ↓, Atangana Edoa V. ↑,
- 65', Tia A. ↓, Diakhon M. ↑,
- 71', Bokele Mputu M. ↓, Gueye I. ↑,
- 72', Diakite O. ↓, Siebatcheu J. ↑,
- 77', Buta ↓, Hiroki S. ↑,
- 77', Gbane M. ↓, Patrick J. ↑,
- 78', 1 - 1, Udol M. ⚽,
- 84', Sabaly C. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,
- 85', Mboula U. 🟨,
- 87', Nakamura K. 🟨,
- Extra Time (0 - 2)
- 103', Kouao K. ↓, Colin M. ↑,
- 105', Akieme S. ↓, Sangui N. ↑,
- 110', 1 - 2, Toure A. ⚽, Hein G. (A),
- 114', 1 - 3, Hein G. ⚽, Diallo P. A. (A),
- 115', Hein G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Reims
38.4% | Draw
29.9% | Metz
31.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Reims has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Reims's form might have worsened.Metz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Metz's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reims than the current prediction. (+8.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Reims, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Metz than the current prediction. (-6.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Metz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Reims - Metz Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.05) |
3.17 ↓
(3.3) |
3.02 ↓
(3.6) |
5.1%
(6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Reims - Metz?
Users Predictions:
39 users predict this event. Reims will win (votes: 24 - 61.5%). Metz will win (votes: 7 - 17.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 20.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Reims: 46.2% – 76.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 22 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Metz (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Reims (2.06) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
- AH 0 - Metz (2.06) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Reims (1.72) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Reims (1.39) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 32 Selected Experts predict this event. Reims (votes: 23 - 71.9%). Metz (votes: 6 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 9.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reims won 2.
- Reims has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Metz has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Reims may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Reims has had a series of away games.
- Reims is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Reims: Daramy M.
(Knee Injury)
Fofana Y.
(Ankle Injury)
Khadra R.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Metz: Asoro J.
(Injury)
Bodart A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Reims: Teuma T.
(Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Reims won 4 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:14. (average 0.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Reims won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 0.6:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Reims won against Metz?
Reims has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metz won against Reims?
Metz has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Reims - Metz were as follows:
21.05.2025
Metz
-
Reims
1:1
17.03.2024
Reims
-
Metz
2:1
03.09.2023
Metz
-
Reims
2:2
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 27 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 61:23 | 38 | 63 |
| 2 | Lens | 28 | 19 | 2 | 7 | 54:27 | 27 | 59 |
| 3 | Lille | 29 | 16 | 5 | 8 | 49:34 | 15 | 53 |
| 4 | Marseille | 29 | 16 | 4 | 9 | 58:38 | 20 | 52 |
| 5 | Lyon | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 51 |
| 6 | Rennes | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:41 | 8 | 50 |
| 7 | Monaco | 29 | 15 | 4 | 10 | 50:43 | 7 | 49 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 46:34 | 12 | 43 |
| 9 | Lorient | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 10 | Toulouse | 29 | 10 | 7 | 12 | 39:39 | 0 | 37 |
| 11 | Brest | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 37:43 | -6 | 36 |
| 12 | Paris FC | 29 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 37:45 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Angers | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 25:39 | -14 | 33 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 24:37 | -13 | 29 |
| 15 | Nice | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 34:56 | -22 | 28 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 29 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 24 |
| 17 | Nantes | 28 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 24:45 | -21 | 19 |
| 18 | Metz | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 26:63 | -37 | 15 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
