Mexico vs Ecuador, Friendly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Friendly Mexico - Ecuador
Result
1:1
14/10/2025 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ecuadorEcuadorCanal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
mexicoMexicoAmazon Prime Video, Azteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, ViX Gratis, VIX+, ViX Premium
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.06
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
82% (351/426)82% (296/363)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.481.16
Total shots
127
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
52
Blocked Shots
30
Shots inside the Box
84
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2112
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
82% (351/426)82% (296/363)
Long passes
54% (28/52)46% (24/52)
Passes in final third
69% (60/87)57% (33/58)
Crosses
40% (4/10)13% (1/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.940.17
Throw-ins
2318
Fouls
1214
Tackles
61% (11/18)55% (6/11)
Duels won
4131
Clearances
914
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
1.160.48
Goals prevented
0.16-0.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 3', 1 - 0, Berterame G. , Sanchez E. (A),
  • 20', 1 - 1, Alcivar J. (Pen),
  • 28', Preciado A. , Paez K. ,
  • 28', Yeboah J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Minda A. , Angulo N. ,
  • 60', Lozano H. , Huerta Valera C. S. ,
  • 61', Romo L. , Ruiz M. ,
  • 61', Berterame G. , Gimenez S. ,
  • 64', Alcivar J. 🟨,
  • 66', Medina Y. 🟨,
  • 68', Vite P. , Mercado P. ,
  • 68', Valencia E. , Campana L. ,
  • 71', Sanchez E. 🟨,
  • 74', Montes C. 🟨,
  • 75', Ordonez J. 🟨,
  • 75', Quinones J. , Vega A. ,
  • 76', Sanchez E. , Gutierrez Torres A. H. ,
  • 81', Yeboah J. , Mercado J. ,
  • 82', Medina Y. , Jhoanner Chavez ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mexico
39%
Draw
29.5%
Ecuador
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 26.4% 35.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mexico has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • Ecuador has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Mexico - Ecuador Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.46
    (2.45)
    3.2
    (3.5)
    3
    (2.57)
    5.1%
    (8.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Mexico - Ecuador?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Ecuador will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Ecuador will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 1.
    • Ecuador may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.4:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mexico - Ecuador were as follows:
    30.06.2024 Mexico - Ecuador 0:0
    Latest results of Mexico
    11.10.2025 Mexico - Colombia 0:4
    09.09.2025 Mexico - South Korea 2:2
    06.09.2025 Mexico - Japan 0:0
    06.07.2025 USA - Mexico 1:2
    02.07.2025 Mexico - Honduras 1:0
    Latest results of Ecuador
    10.10.2025 USA - Ecuador 1:1
    09.09.2025 Ecuador - Argentina 1:0
    04.09.2025 Paraguay - Ecuador 0:0
    10.06.2025 Peru - Ecuador 0:0
    05.06.2025 Ecuador - Brazil 0:0