Mexico vs Honduras, Gold Cup – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Gold Cup
Football Gold Cup Mexico - Honduras
Result
1:0
02/07/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Gold Cup - Play Offs - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 2
australiaAustraliaESPN 2, ESPN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
austriaAustriaDAZN
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadaOneSoccer, RDS 2, RDS App, TLN, TSN 1, TSN 4, Univision Canada, VIVA
colombiaColombiaESPN 2
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 4
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
mexicoMexicoCanal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN 1
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Caribbean, ESPN Norte
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaAloula, KSA Sports 1
singaporeSingaporeHUB Sports 2
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
south-koreaSouth-koreaSky Sports Korea
spainSpainGol Play, GolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
ukraineUkraineMaincast
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaConcacaf GO, Fox Sports 1, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fubo Sports Network, Galavision, Tubi TV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldVIX App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.10
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
106
Shots on target
41
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
84% (374/444)75% (252/338)
Yellow Cards
54
Expected Goals (xG)
1.260.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.370.14
Total shots
106
Shots on target
41
Shots off target
43
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
81
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
1415
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
13
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
84% (374/444)75% (252/338)
Long passes
44% (19/43)37% (22/60)
Passes in final third
64% (49/76)38% (35/91)
Crosses
22% (2/9)8% (1/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.710.04
Throw-ins
1224
Fouls
1112
Tackles
59% (10/17)64% (7/11)
Duels won
4950
Clearances
3617
Interceptions
85
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
0.141.37
Goals prevented
0.140.37

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 13', Ochoa G. 🟨,
  • 24', Crisanto L. 🟨,
  • 36', Lozano C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 47', Chavez Garcia M. 🟨,
  • 50', 1 - 0, Jimenez R. ⚽, Mora G. (A),
  • 71', Alvarado R. ↓, Orozco J. ↑,
  • 71', Quioto R. ↓, Palma L. ↑,
  • 71', Chavez Garcia M. ↓, Huerta Valera C. S. ↑,
  • 71', Lozano C. ↓, Arboleda Y. ↑,
  • 72', Arboleda Y. 🟨,
  • 76', Arriaga K. 🟨,
  • 77', Mora G. ↓, Gimenez S. ↑,
  • 83', Orozco J. 🟨,
  • 84', Alvarez J. ↓, Pineda C. ↑,
  • 89', Araujo J. 🟨,
  • 89', Flores D. ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
  • 90+1', Jimenez R. ↓, Pineda O. ↑,
  • 90+2', Ruiz M. ↓, Lira E. ↑,
  • 90+6', Lira E. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mexico
70.7%		Draw
19.7%		Honduras
9.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
73.7% 17.6% 8.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • Honduras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
    •

    Mexico - Honduras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.33 ↑
    (1.26)    		 4.79 ↓
    (5.28)    		 9.81 ↓
    (10.6)    		 6.1%
    (7.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Mexico - Honduras?
  • Users Predictions: 28 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 26 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 83.4% – 100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Mexico (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mexico will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 3.
    • Mexico is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Honduras is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • In this match, Mexico is the obvious favorite.
    • We predict that Mexico will win today's game, with odds of 1.32.
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 31:11. (average 1.7:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mexico - Honduras were as follows:
    19.11.2024 Mexico - Honduras 4:0
    15.11.2024 Honduras - Mexico 2:0
    21.11.2023 Mexico - Honduras 3:0
    17.11.2023 Honduras - Mexico 2:0
    25.06.2023 Mexico - Honduras 4:0
    Latest results of Mexico
    22.06.2025 Mexico - Costa Rica 0:0 ✺
    18.06.2025 Suriname - Mexico 0:2 ✺
    14.06.2025 Mexico - Dominican Republic 3:2 ✺
    10.06.2025 Mexico - Turkey 1:0 ✺
    07.06.2025 Mexico - Switzerland 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Honduras
    24.06.2025 Honduras - Curaçao 2:1 ✺
    21.06.2025 Honduras - Salvador 2:0 ✺
    17.06.2025 Canada - Honduras 6:0 ✺
    10.06.2025 Honduras - Antigua and Barbuda 2:0 ✺
    07.06.2025 Cayman Islands - Honduras 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1USA (D1)Costa Rica (A2)3 : 2
    2Canada (B1)Guatemala (C2)1 : 2
    3Mexico (A1)Saudi Arabia (D2)2 : 0
    4Panama (C1)Honduras (B2)1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1USA (D1)Guatemala (C2)2 : 1
    2Mexico (A1)Honduras (B2)1 : 0

    Final
    1USA (D1)Mexico (A1)1 : 2
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