Japan vs Mexico, World Baseball Classic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball World Baseball Classic Japan - Mexico
Result
6:5
20/03/2023 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • WORLD: WORLD BASEBALL CLASSIC - PLAY OFFS - SEMI-FINALS

Chances of winning


Japan
69%
Mexico
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.5% 62.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 60.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Japan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+31.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Japan's performance.
  • Mexico has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-31.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mexico might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Japan than the current prediction. (-29.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Japan that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mexico than the current prediction. (+29.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mexico could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Japan - Mexico Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (2.5)

    3.06
    (1.5)
    5.4%
    (6.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 8.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Japan won 3.
    • Japan in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Mexico is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Mexico could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Japan is a favorite.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Japan won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 42-33.
    Latest results of Japan
    16.03.2023 Japan - Italy 9:3
    12.03.2023 Australia - Japan 1:7
    11.03.2023 Japan - Czech Republic 10:2
    10.03.2023 Japan - South Korea 13:4
    09.03.2023 Japan - China 8:1
    Latest results of Mexico
    17.03.2023 Mexico - Puerto Rico 5:4
    15.03.2023 Canada - Mexico 3:10
    14.03.2023 Mexico - Great Britain 2:1
    12.03.2023 USA - Mexico 5:11
    11.03.2023 Mexico - Colombia 4:5
    Draw
    Qualification - Play Offs

    Final
    1SpainChinese Taipei3 : 6
    2BrazilGermany6 : 4