Mexico vs Paraguay, Friendly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
18/11/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Friendly International
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaZhiBo8
mexicoMexicoAzteca 7, Azteca Deportes, Canal 5, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
paraguayParaguayTigo Sports
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
usaUsaFox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.071.86
Ball Possession
73%27%
Total shots
914
Shots on target
47
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (448/513)65% (123/189)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
2.071.86
xG on target (xGOT)
1.602.55
Total shots
914
Shots on target
47
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
68
Shots outside the Box
36
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
33
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
1717
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
1914
Passes
87% (448/513)65% (123/189)
Long passes
53% (28/53)48% (22/46)
Passes in final third
71% (76/107)47% (37/78)
Crosses
33% (5/15)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.120.92
Throw-ins
2016
Fouls
1419
Tackles
100% (9/9)82% (14/17)
Duels won
3849
Clearances
2320
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
53
xGOT faced
2.551.60
Goals prevented
0.550.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 24', Lira E. 🟨,
  • 36', Jimenez R. 🟨,
  • 37', Benitez A. 🟨,
  • 43', Aguirre J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Almiron M. , Enciso J. ,
  • 46', Gomez D. , Bobadilla D. ,
  • 51', 0 - 1, Sanabria A. , Enciso J. (A),
  • 54', 1 - 1, Jimenez R. (Pen),
  • 56', 1 - 2, Bobadilla D. , Enciso J. (A),
  • 60', Chavez Garcia M. , Gallardo J. ,
  • 60', Ruvalcaba J. , Alvarado R. ,
  • 60', Orozco J. , Vasquez J. ,
  • 67', Reyes I. , Alvarez K. ,
  • 67', Mora G. , Gonzalez A. ,
  • 68', Sosa R. , Gonzalez D. ,
  • 68', Sanabria A. , Arce A. ,
  • 73', Ruiz M. , Sanchez E. ,
  • 77', Pineda O. 🟨,
  • 83', Galarza M. , Alonso J. ,
  • 90+2', Ojeda B. , Romero L. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mexico
45.2%
Draw
28.9%
Paraguay
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.9% 28% 37%

Mexico - Paraguay Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.15
(2.65)
3.32
(3.3)
3.65
(2.5)
4%
(8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mexico - Paraguay?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mexico will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mexico: 50.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mexico (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mexico won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mexico - Paraguay were as follows:
    31.08.2022 Mexico - Paraguay 0:1
    Latest results of Mexico
    15.11.2025 Mexico - Uruguay 0:0
    14.10.2025 Mexico - Ecuador 1:1
    11.10.2025 Mexico - Colombia 0:4
    09.09.2025 Mexico - South Korea 2:2
    06.09.2025 Mexico - Japan 0:0
    Latest results of Paraguay
    15.11.2025 USA - Paraguay 2:1
    14.10.2025 South Korea - Paraguay 2:0
    10.10.2025 Japan - Paraguay 2:2
    09.09.2025 Peru - Paraguay 0:1
    04.09.2025 Paraguay - Ecuador 0:0