México vs Tres Cantos – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
28/03/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Tercera RFEF - Group 7 - Round 28

Match Stats

Red cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 5)
  • 66', 0 - 1, ,
  • 78', 0 - 2, ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, ,
  • 90', 🟥,
  • 90+3', 0 - 4, ,
  • 90+5', 0 - 5, ,

Chances of winning


México
50.4%
Draw
30.5%
Tres Cantos
19.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.8% 25.6% 18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.6% 24.4% 17.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • México has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that México's form might have worsened.
  • Tres Cantos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for México than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for México, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tres Cantos than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • México - Tres Cantos Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.62)
    3.03
    (3.52)
    4.84
    (4.85)
    8%
    (11%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for México - Tres Cantos?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DNB - Tres Cantos (3.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Tres Cantos (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tres Cantos (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 and 15).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • In this match, México is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:2).
    • Including home match between the teams, México won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between México - Tres Cantos were as follows:
    16.11.2025 Tres Cantos - México 3:1
    11.05.2025 Tres Cantos - México 1:0
    11.01.2025 México - Tres Cantos 0:2
    Latest results of México
    22.03.2026 Carabanchel - México 0:0
    14.03.2026 México - Móstoles URJC 1:0
    28.02.2026 México - Racing Madrid 0:1
    22.02.2026 Las Rozas - México 1:1
    Latest results of Tres Cantos
    Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 7 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Atl. Madrid C30169572:403257
    2Las Rozas30158749:321753
    3Leganes B30148858:273150
    4Trival Valderas301551042:33950
    5AD Torrejon30148849:41850
    6CD Mostoles30147946:361049
    7San Sebastian Reyes B301012838:32642
    8Pozuelo de Alarcon301011932:28441
    9Union Adarve301181135:41-641
    10Mexico FC301171238:41-340
    11Villaverde San Andres30913828:32-440
    12Galapagar30913833:41-840
    13Alcorcon B309101129:31-237
    14Tres Cantos301031734:53-1933
    15Carabanchel307111226:30-432
    16Siello30951628:41-1332
    17Parla30751827:54-2726
    18Ciudad de Madrid30571830:61-3122

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