Mġarr United vs Fgura United – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:4
07/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Challenge League - Round 14

Match Stats

Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
79
Corner kicks
65
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
79
Shots off target
83
Corner kicks
65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 34', 0 - 1, Pisani L. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 3)
  • 53', 0 - 2, Rahman A. ,
  • 62', 0 - 3, Caruana D. ,
  • 85', 1 - 3, Vella T. ,
  • 90+2', 2 - 3, Igiebor W. ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 4, Kolawole Shittu A. ,

Chances of winning


Mġarr United
30.1%
Draw
26.2%
Fgura United
43.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.8% 24.8% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8% 24.1% 41.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Fgura United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fgura United than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • Mġarr United - Fgura United Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.99
    (2.79)
    3.43
    (3.69)
    2.06
    (2.16)
    11.2%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ))
    • Mġarr United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Fgura has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Mġarr United won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Fgura United were as follows:
    21.12.2024 Mġarr United - Fgura United 0:0
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    01.02.2026 Żurrieq - Mġarr United 1:1
    28.01.2026 Mġarr United - Mosta 0:3
    18.01.2026 Mtarfa - Mġarr United 1:3
    21.12.2025 Mġarr United - Sirens 2:3
    Latest results of Fgura United
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation