Mġarr United vs Lija Athletic – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
25/01/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MALTA: Challenge League - Round 13

Match Stats

Ball Possession
62%38%
Goal Attempts
87
Shots on Goal
23
Shots off Goal
64
Corner Kicks
105
Goalkeeper Saves
21
Yellow Cards
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 9', Khatib O. 🟨,
  • 30', Vukovic D. 🟨,
  • 36', Briffa S. 🟨,
  • 39', 0 - 1, Camilleri J. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 56', McKay L. , Gauci C. ,
  • 56', Mifsud M. , Zammit C. ,
  • 69', Mallia L. , Ronald Makalysten ,
  • 80', Donsu K. 🟨,
  • 81', Winchester R. , Hernandez A. ,
  • 84', Frendo K. , Azzopardi K. ,
  • 84', Suda J. , Mahop V. ,
  • 84', Donsu K. , Attard M. ,
  • 85', Boakye S. 🟨,
  • 89', Sciberras B. , Giordimaina C. ,
  • 90+5', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Mġarr United
55.3%
Draw
24.1%
Lija Athletic
20.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.5% 19.9% 13.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5% 19% 13%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mġarr United's form might have worsened.
  • Lija Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lija Athletic's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+14.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mġarr United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lija Athletic, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mġarr United - Lija Athletic Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.38)
    3.77
    (4.6)
    4.42
    (6.75)
    10%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    Latest results of Lija Athletic
    Maltese Challenge League Table
    Relegation Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mgarr1784535:251028
    2Santa Lucia1757530:27322
    3Gudja1757517:18-122
    4Zurrieq17521025:29-417
    5Vittoriosa1744921:27-616
    6Zebbug17331116:38-2212
    7Marsa17251021:32-119
    8Mtarfa1711159:78-69-2

          Relegation