Mġarr United vs Marsa – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Maltese Challenge League Mġarr United - Marsa
Result
1:1
15/02/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • MALTA: Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Goal Attempts
29
Shots on Goal
26
Shots off Goal
03
Corner Kicks
93
Goalkeeper Saves
51
Yellow Cards
32
Red Cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 13', Engerer J. 🟨,
  • 14', Azzopardi K. 🟨,
  • 28', 0 - 1, Micallef L. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Azzopardi K. , Gauci C. ,
  • 58', Caruana R. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Ebisindor C. (Pen),
  • 65', Cipriott S. , Tom Tom ,
  • 66', Ebisindor C. , Boakye S. ,
  • 75', Debono J. 🟨,
  • 82', Vukovic D. , Howland T. ,
  • 83', Bugeja G. , Claudir ,
  • 89', Frendo K. , Zammit J. ,
  • 90+4', Mijic L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Micallef L. 🟥,

Chances of winning


Mġarr United
28.4%
Draw
25%
Marsa
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
30.7% 27.6% 41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32% 26.5% 40%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
  • Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mġarr United - Marsa Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.22
    (2.97)
    3.67
    (3.3)
    1.96
    (2.19)
    9.2%
    (9.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Challenge League (Promotion Group: )).
    • Two teams are playing changeable.
    • Mġarr United could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Marsa have a series of home games.
    • Marsa will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Mġarr United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:5 (average 0.7:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mġarr United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4 (average 1:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mġarr United - Marsa were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Mġarr United - Marsa 2:2
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    Latest results of Marsa
    09.02.2025 Marsa - Valletta 0:1
    05.02.2025 Marsa - Sliema Wanderers 0:4
    01.02.2025 Gudja United - Marsa 1:2
    26.01.2025 Marsa - St. Andrews 0:0
    19.01.2025 Marsa - Żebbuġ Rangers 4:2
    Draw
    Promotion

    Final
    1MelitaNaxxar0 : 1