Result
1:2
28/02/2026 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 2
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 30', 1 - 0, Demanuele N. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Igiebor W. ⚽,
- 83', 1 - 2, Igiebor W. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Marsa
30.7% | Draw
24% | Mġarr United
45.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Marsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Marsa's performance.Mġarr United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Mġarr United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marsa than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Marsa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mġarr United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Marsa - Mġarr United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.95 ↓
(3.99) |
3.77 ↓
(3.93) |
1.99 ↑
(1.67) |
10.7%
(10.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Marsa - Mġarr United?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Marsa (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Marsa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Marsa has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mġarr United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Marsa has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Mġarr United is a strong favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marsa won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marsa won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Marsa won against Mġarr United?
Marsa has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mġarr United won against Marsa?
Mġarr United has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Marsa - Mġarr United were as follows:
29.11.2025
Marsa
-
Mġarr United
2:3
15.02.2025
Mġarr United
-
Marsa
1:1
27.10.2024
Mġarr United
-
Marsa
2:2
Latest results of Mġarr United
Maltese Challenge League Table
Relegation Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mgarr | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 39:27 | 12 | 33 |
| 2 | Santa Lucia | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 35:30 | 5 | 27 |
| 3 | Gudja | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 24:23 | 1 | 26 |
| 4 | Zurrieq | 21 | 7 | 3 | 11 | 32:36 | -4 | 24 |
| 5 | Vittoriosa | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:30 | -6 | 21 |
| 6 | Zebbug | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | 22:44 | -22 | 19 |
| 7 | Marsa | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 16 |
| 8 | Mtarfa | 21 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 9:89 | -80 | -2 |
Relegation
