Mġarr United vs Mosta – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:3
28/01/2026 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FA Trophy - 1/8-finals

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 43', 0 - 1, Diamanka C. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 0 - 2, Leo Fernandes ,
  • 83', 0 - 3, Emmanuel P. ,

Chances of winning


Mġarr United
23.1%
Draw
23%
Mosta
54%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.8% 24% 56.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.2% 23.2% 58.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mġarr United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mġarr United than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Mġarr United - Mosta Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.9
    (4.55)
    3.93
    (3.75)
    1.67
    (1.6)
    11%
    (11.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mosta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Mosta is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, the teams have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Mġarr United
    18.01.2026 Mtarfa - Mġarr United 1:3
    21.12.2025 Mġarr United - Sirens 2:3
    10.12.2025 Mġarr United - Melita 1:3
    Latest results of Mosta
    25.01.2026 Floriana - Mosta 2:1
    16.01.2026 Mosta - Valletta 0:5
    11.01.2026 Paola Hibernians - Mosta 0:2
    08.01.2026 Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows 2:2
    04.01.2026 Mosta - Mqabba 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1TarxienBye
    2ByeGhajnsielem
    3PembrokeBye
    4ByeValletta
    5HamrunBye
    6Victoria HotspursXaghra3 : 1
    7FguraBye
    8SirensSanta Lucia1 : 2
    9BirkirkaraBye
    10ByeVictoria Wanderers
    11PietaBye
    12ByeMtarfa
    13FlorianaBye
    14ByeMarsaxlokk
    15ZabbarBye
    16MelitaXewkija0 : 1
    17St. AndrewsVittoriosa3 : 0
    18ByeGzira
    19HiberniansBye
    20ByeGudja
    21ZebbugQala Saints0 : 5
    22ByeMgarr
    23MostaBye
    24ByeMqabba FC
    25ZurrieqBye
    26ByeKercem Ajax
    27QormiBalzan1 : 4
    28NadurBirzebbuga1 : 4
    29SliemaBye
    30ByeSwieqi
    31MarsaBye
    32ByeNaxxar

    1/16-finals
    1TarxienGhajnsielem4 : 0
    2PembrokeValletta0 : 1
    3HamrunVictoria Hotspurs5 : 0
    4FguraSanta Lucia2 : 1
    5BirkirkaraVictoria Wanderers3 : 1
    6PietaMtarfa5 : 0
    7FlorianaMarsaxlokk1 : 0
    8ZabbarXewkija1 : 0
    9St. AndrewsGzira0 : 2
    10HiberniansGudja3 : 1
    11Qala SaintsMgarr0 : 2
    12MostaMqabba FC2 : 1
    13ZurrieqKercem Ajax4 : 0
    14BalzanBirzebbuga1 : 2
    15SliemaSwieqi1 : 2
    16MarsaNaxxar0 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1TarxienValletta0 : 1
    2HamrunFgura5 : 0
    3BirkirkaraPieta2 : 0
    4FlorianaZabbar0 : 1
    5GziraHibernians3 : 2
    6MgarrMosta0 : 3
    7ZurrieqBirzebbuga3 : 0
    8SwieqiNaxxar2 : 4

    Quarter-finals
    1VallettaHamrun
    2BirkirkaraZabbar
    3GziraMosta
    4ZurrieqNaxxar

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2